Justin Lower betting profile: The American Express
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ORLANDO, FLORIDA - MARCH 09: Justin Lower of the United States hits a tee shot on the first hole during the third round of the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard at Arnold Palmer Bay Hill Golf Course on March 09, 2024 in Orlando, Florida. (Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images)
Justin Lower hits the links Jan. 16-19 in the 2025 The American Express at La Quinta Country Club following a 37th-place finish in the Sony Open in Hawaii, which was his most recent tournament.
The American Express tournament and course info
- Date: Jan. 16-19, 2025
- Location: La Quinta, California, USA
- Course: La Quinta Country Club
- Par: 72 / 7,060 yards
- Purse: $8.8M
- Previous winner: Nick Dunlap
At The American Express
- Lower's average finish has been 40th, and his average score 16-under, over his last three appearances at The American Express.
- Lower finished 39th (with a score of 17-under) in his most recent go-round at The American Express (in 2024).
- Nick Dunlap won this tournament in 2024 with a final score of 29-under.
Lower's recent history at The American Express
| Date | Result | Round Scores | To Par |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1/18/2024 | 39 | 64-68-68-71 | -17 |
| 1/19/2023 | 41 | 71-68-67-67 | -15 |
| 1/20/2022 | MC | 74-71-75 | +4 |
Lower's recent performances
- Over his last five tournaments, Lower has finished in the top five twice.
- In the last five times he's played a tournament, he has made the cut four times.
- Over his last five events, Lower has finished within three shots of the leader once and five or fewer strokes back of the winner twice. He's carded a score that's better than average three times.
- He has finished with an average score of -12 those four times he's made the cut.
- Off the tee, Justin Lower has averaged 291.7 yards in his past five tournaments.
- Lower is averaging 1.537 in terms of Strokes Gained: Putting in his past five tournaments.
- In his past five starts, Lower is averaging -1.837 Strokes Gained: Total.
Lower's advanced stats and rankings
- Lower delivered a Strokes Gained: Off the Tee average of -0.234 last season (145th on TOUR). His average driving distance (295.2 yards) ranked 143rd, while his 60.6% driving accuracy average ranked 115th.
- In terms of Strokes Gained: Approach last season, Lower ranked 78th on TOUR with an average of 0.166 per round. Additionally, he ranked 42nd with a Greens in Regulation mark of 69.59%.
- On the greens, Lower's 0.350 Strokes Gained: Putting mark ranked 31st last season, and his 28.89 putts-per-round average ranked 72nd.
| Category | Overall TOUR Rank | Overall | Last 5 Starts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Driving Distance | 143 | 295.2 | 291.7 |
| Greens in Regulation % | 42 | 69.59% | 70.99% |
| Putts Per Round | 72 | 28.89 | 28.1 |
| Par Breakers | 56 | 25.54% | 26.54% |
| Bogey Avoidance | 61 | 13.63% | 9.57% |
Lower's best finishes
- Lower played 31 tournaments last season, earning four top-five finishes and collecting five finishes in the top 10.
- In those 31 tournaments, he had a 71% success rate in terms of making the cut (22 cuts made).
- Last season Lower had his best performance at the World Wide Technology Championship at El Cardonal at Diamante. He shot 23-under and finished second (one shot back of the winner).
- Lower placed 91st in the FedExCup standings with 461 points last season.
Lower's best Strokes Gained performances
- Last season Lower's best Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee performance came in May 2024 at the RBC Canadian Open, where he ranked in the field with a mark of 2.135. He missed the cut in that event.
- Lower delivered his best Strokes Gained: Approach effort last season at the Mexico Open at Vidanta, ranking 13th in the field at 3.864. In that event, he finished third.
- In terms of Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green, Lower put up his best mark last season at the Farmers Insurance Open, ranking seventh in the field at 2.721. In that tournament, he finished 43rd.
- At the Procore Championship in September 2024, Lower delivered a Strokes Gained: Putting mark of 5.965 (his best mark last season), which ranked eighth in the field. He finished seventh in that event.
- Lower recorded his best Strokes Gained: Total mark last season (9.596) at the Mexico Open at Vidanta in February 2024, a performance that ranked him third in the field.
Lower's Strokes Gained rankings
| Category | Overall TOUR Rank | Overall | Last 5 Starts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee | 145 | -0.234 | -2.695 |
| Average Strokes Gained: Approach the Green | 78 | 0.166 | 0.471 |
| Average Strokes Gained: Around the Green | 131 | -0.081 | -1.151 |
| Average Strokes Gained: Putting | 31 | 0.350 | 1.537 |
| Average Strokes Gained: Total | 92 | 0.201 | -1.837 |
Lower's past results
| Date | Tournament Name | Result | Round Scores | To Par | FedExCup Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 18-21 | The American Express | 39 | 64-68-68-71 | -17 | 14 |
| January 24-27 | Farmers Insurance Open | 43 | 71-70-72-72 | -3 | 11 |
| February 8-11 | WM Phoenix Open | 53 | 71-69-73-67 | -4 | 6 |
| February 22-25 | Mexico Open at Vidanta | 3 | 70-66-66-68 | -14 | 145 |
| February 29 - March 3 | Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches | MC | 73-70 | +1 | -- |
| March 7-10 | Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard | 36 | 67-76-69-78 | +2 | 21 |
| March 14-17 | THE PLAYERS Championship | MC | 71-75 | +2 | -- |
| March 21-24 | Valspar Championship | W/D | 77 | +6 | -- |
| March 28-31 | Texas Children's Houston Open | 28 | 72-67-69-67 | -5 | 30 |
| April 4-7 | Valero Texas Open | 25 | 66-77-71-70 | -4 | 30 |
| April 18-21 | Corales Puntacana Championship | 4 | 66-64-71-69 | -18 | 73 |
| April 25-28 | Zurich Classic of New Orleans | 28 | 65-69-65-72 | -140 | 5 |
| May 2-5 | THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson | 24 | 66-69-66-68 | -15 | 33 |
| May 9-12 | Myrtle Beach Classic | MC | 67-74 | -1 | -- |
| May 23-26 | Charles Schwab Challenge | MC | 71-75 | +6 | -- |
| May 30 - June 2 | RBC Canadian Open | MC | 71-73 | +4 | -- |
| June 13-16 | U.S. Open | 50 | 72-73-74-70 | +9 | 12 |
| June 27-30 | Rocket Mortgage Classic | 25 | 68-70-68-72 | -10 | 32 |
| July 4-7 | John Deere Classic | 73 | 67-66-73-72 | -6 | 3 |
| July 11-13 | Genesis Scottish Open | 67 | 64-72-71-71 | -2 | 3 |
| July 25-28 | 3M Open | 33 | 67-68-74-67 | -8 | 22 |
| August 8-11 | Wyndham Championship | 33 | 66-70-65-71 | -8 | 21 |
| September 12-15 | Procore Championship | 7 | 70-67-68-71 | -12 | -- |
| October 3-6 | Sanderson Farms Championship | 28 | 69-69-70-65 | -15 | -- |
| October 10-13 | Black Desert Championship | MC | 69-69 | -4 | -- |
| October 17-20 | Shriners Children's Open | MC | 72-70 | E | -- |
| October 24-26 | ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP | 56 | 74-68-69-67 | -2 | -- |
| November 7-10 | World Wide Technology Championship | 2 | 70-67-63-65 | -23 | -- |
| November 14-17 | Butterfield Bermuda Championship | 5 | 65-65-68-72 | -14 | -- |
| November 21-24 | The RSM Classic | MC | 75-71 | +4 | -- |
| January 9-12 | Sony Open in Hawaii | 37 | 68-69-66-69 | -8 | 16 |
All stats in this article are accurate for Lower as of the start of The American Express.
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Note: The PGA TOUR has created this story via a machine-learning model using data from ShotLink, powered by CDW, in addition to player performance data. While we strive for accuracy and quality, please note that the information provided may not be entirely error-free.




