Justin Lower Betting Profile: Valspar Championship
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COLLEGE GROVE, TENNESSEE - SEPTEMBER 17: A PGA Tour flag near the putting green during the final round of the Simmons Bank Open for the Snedeker Foundation at The Grove on September 17, 2023 in College Grove, Tennessee. (Photo by Alex Slitz/Getty Images)
Justin Lower enters play this weekend looking for a better outcome in the 2024 Valspar Championship after failing to make the cut in the tournament in 2023 at Innisbrook Resort (Copperhead Course).
The Valspar Championship Tournament & Course Info
- Date: March 21-24, 2024
- Location: Palm Harbor, Florida
- Course: Innisbrook Resort (Copperhead Course)
- Par: 71 / 7,340 yards
- Purse: $8.4M
- Previous Winner: Taylor Moore
At the Valspar Championship
- Lower has played the Valspar Championship once in recent years (in 2023), posting a score of +3 and missing the cut.
- Taylor Moore won this tournament in 2023 with numbers of 3.355 in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee (second in field), 5.129 in SG: Approach the Green (fifth), and 4.864 in SG: Putting (ninth).
- Moore averaged 306.4 yards off the tee (10th in field), had a greens in regulation percentage of 69.44% (second), and attempted 27.75 putts per round (31st) in that victory a year ago.
Lower's Recent Performances
- Lower has finished in the top five in one of his last five tournaments.
- He's made the cut in three of his last five events.
- Lower has finished with a score lower than the tournament average in one of his last five events, including one finish within five strokes of the leader.
- He has an average score of -5 across his last five events.
- In terms of driving distance, Justin Lower has averaged 292.3 yards in his past five starts.
- In his past five starts, Lower is averaging 0.464 Strokes Gained: Putting.
- Lower is averaging 0.796 Strokes Gained: Total in his past five tournaments.
Lower's Advanced Stats and Rankings
- Lower has put up a Strokes Gained: Off the Tee average of -0.177 this season (121st on TOUR). His average driving distance (293.3 yards) ranks 107th, while his 59% driving accuracy average ranks 94th.
- In terms of Strokes Gained: Approach, Lower owns a 0.331 mark (47th on TOUR).
- On the greens, Lower's -0.064 Strokes Gained: Putting mark ranks 102nd this season, and his putts-per-round average ranks first.
| Category | Overall TOUR Rank | Last 5 Starts | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Driving Distance | 107 | 293.3 | 292.3 |
| Greens in Regulation % | 1 | % | 69.44% |
| Putts Per Round | 1 | 29.4 | |
| Par Breakers | 1 | % | 22.22% |
| Bogey Avoidance | 1 | % | 14.93% |
Lower's Best Finishes
- Lower has played eight tournaments this season, and while he hasn't won any of them, he has secured one finish in the top-five.
- In those eight events, he made the cut six times.
- Lower, who has 198 points, currently sits 75th in the FedExCup standings.
Lower's Best Strokes Gained Performances
- This season Lower's best Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee effort came at the Mexico Open at Vidanta, where his 1.265 mark ranked 25th in the field.
- Lower's best Strokes Gained: Approach performance this season came in February 2024 at the Mexico Open at Vidanta, where he ranked 13th in the field with a mark of 3.864. He finished third in that event.
- In terms of Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green, Lower's best effort this season was at the Farmers Insurance Open, where his 2.721 mark ranked seventh in the field.
- At the Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches in February 2024, Lower recorded a Strokes Gained: Putting mark of 3.351, which was his best so far this season. That ranked in the field.
- Lower delivered his best Strokes Gained: Total mark this season (9.596) in February 2024 at the Mexico Open at Vidanta, which ranked third in the field. He finished third in that event.
Lower's Strokes Gained Rankings
| Category | Overall TOUR Rank | Overall | Last 5 Starts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee | 121 | -0.177 | -0.417 |
| Average Strokes Gained: Approach the Green | 47 | 0.331 | 0.716 |
| Average Strokes Gained: Around the Green | 80 | 0.057 | 0.033 |
| Average Strokes Gained: Putting | 102 | -0.064 | 0.464 |
| Average Strokes Gained: Total | 81 | 0.147 | 0.796 |
Lower's Past Results
| Date | Tournament Name | Result | Round Scores | To Par | FedExCup Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 23-26 | Corales Puntacana Championship | MC | 74-71 | +1 | -- |
| March 30 - April 2 | Valero Texas Open | 70 | 69-73-76-77 | +7 | 3 |
| April 13-16 | RBC Heritage | 71 | 70-70-76-72 | +4 | 3 |
| May 4-7 | Wells Fargo Championship | MC | 71-71 | E | -- |
| May 11-14 | AT&T Byron Nelson | 43 | 66-70-68-68 | -12 | 11 |
| May 25-28 | Charles Schwab Challenge | 57 | 70-68-73-74 | +5 | 5 |
| June 1-4 | the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday | MC | 77-74 | +7 | -- |
| June 8-11 | RBC Canadian Open | 25 | 67-70-75-69 | -7 | 30 |
| June 22-25 | Travelers Championship | MC | 71-68 | -1 | -- |
| June 29 - July 2 | Rocket Mortgage Classic | 8 | 68-65-67-69 | -19 | 85 |
| July 13-16 | Barbasol Championship | 44 | 72-66-68-73 | -9 | 6 |
| July 27-30 | 3M Open | 43 | 67-71-71-67 | -8 | 11 |
| August 3-6 | Wyndham Championship | MC | 78-67 | +5 | -- |
| September 14-17 | Fortinet Championship | 45 | 67-69-71-75 | -6 | -- |
| October 5-8 | Sanderson Farms Championship | MC | 73-69 | -2 | -- |
| October 12-15 | Shriners Children's Open | MC | 72-70 | E | -- |
| October 19-21 | ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP | 41 | 68-72-68-75 | +3 | -- |
| November 2-5 | World Wide Technology Championship | 23 | 65-68-73-65 | -17 | -- |
| November 9-12 | Butterfield Bermuda Championship | 20 | 67-67-67-68 | -15 | -- |
| November 16-19 | The RSM Classic | MC | 71-68 | -3 | -- |
| January 11-14 | Sony Open in Hawaii | 74 | 70-68-70-71 | -1 | 2 |
| January 18-21 | The American Express | 39 | 64-68-68-71 | -17 | 14 |
| January 24-27 | Farmers Insurance Open | 43 | 71-70-72-72 | -3 | 11 |
| February 8-11 | WM Phoenix Open | 53 | 71-69-73-67 | -4 | 6 |
| February 22-25 | Mexico Open at Vidanta | 3 | 70-66-66-68 | -14 | 145 |
| February 29 - March 3 | Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches | MC | 73-70 | +1 | -- |
| March 7-10 | Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard | 36 | 67-76-69-78 | +2 | 21 |
| March 14-17 | THE PLAYERS Championship | MC | 71-75 | +2 | -- |
All stats in this article are accurate for Lower as of the start of the Valspar Championship.
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Note: The PGA TOUR has created this story via a machine-learning model using data from ShotLink, powered by CDW, in addition to player performance data. While we strive for accuracy and quality, please note that the information provided may not be entirely error-free.


