Oct 10, 2023

Betting Stat Pack: Shriners Children’s Open

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Betting Stat Pack: Shriners Children’s Open

There are very few guarantees in this part of the world other than the summers will be hot and the field at TPC Summerlin for the Shriners Children’s Open will go low in the fall!

Investors and gamers alike will be setting up their tickets and lineups this week with scoring, scoring and more scoring in mind. Playing host since 2008, TPC Summerlin has produced a winning score of 20 under or lower in five of the last six editions. The par-71 course stretches to 7,255 yards, as it has since 2013, and is usually not influenced by wind or weather, creating optimum scoring conditions.

Tom Kim returns to defend his title and will lead the field of 132 players in the third of seven FedExCup Fall events. On the line is 500 points and $1.512 million to the winner, plus entry to The Sentry and the Masters in 2024.

Key Statistics

Players listed are competing this week; stats from the current 2022-23 season.

RankPlayer
1Eric Cole
5Adam Schenk
8Ben Griffin
8Andrew Putnam
8Adam Svensson
13Tom Hoge
13Beau Hossler
18Mark Hubbard
20Emiliano Grillo
20Tom Kim

The last four events have produced winning scores of 24 under, 24 under, 23 under and 23 under. In the 2022 edition, of the 11 players in the top 10 (including ties) only four players posted a round in the 70s on the par-71 layout. Only one player, Tom Hoge, posted a round over par with 72. He needed 63, 65 and 64 to remain in the top five (T4). The winner in the last two events has had to equal the tournament scoring record. Any round above 70 will need three other elite rounds to contend. The scoring average, below 70 over the last five editions, has ranked the course in the top 12 easiest on TOUR annually.

RankPlayer
9Tom Hoge
10Kevin Roy
11Mark Hubbard
14Tom Kim
17Ryan Moore
20Russell Knox
23Eric Cole
24Akshay Bhatia
25Sam Ryder
27Andrew Putnam

The more greens in regulation (GIR) hit in a shootout, the better the chances of scoring and contending. Averaging 7,400 square feet, the Dominator Bentgrass greens will provide ample targets from balls in the Bandera Bermuda fairways and the 2.5 inches of 419 Bermudagrass rough. Over the last five editions, the field has had a success rate ranging from 73 to almost 76 percent finding the putting surfaces. I’m looking for players who go flag hunting as a bonus. The last three winners ranked in the top seven in this category.

RankPlayer
1Taylor Montgomery
8Eric Cole
11Sam Ryder
19Tom Hoge
20Richy Werenski
24S.H. Kim
25Harry Hall
27Carl Yuan
30Patton Kizzire
31Tom Kim

With perfect scoring conditions in the forecast, finding fairways and GIR should be the expectation this week. Once on the putting surfaces, it’s time to get the flat stick red-hot and take advantage of the perfect greens, barely a year old. A hot putter can mitigate cool iron play and swing momentum. The last four winners each produced 22 or more birdies.

RankPlayer
2J.J. Spaun
6Austin Cook
8Andrew Novak
12Andrew Putnam
20S.H. Kim
22Eric Cole
25Christiaan Bezuidenhout
30Henrik Norlander
32Doug Ghim
34Si Woo Kim

Making bogeys on a course where 20 under or better is required to win is frowned upon. For every bogey, two birdies are required to get back into the fight. Salvaging an off day with either driver or approach, grinding around the greens can go a long way to remaining in contention. Tom Kim and J.T. Poston, both in the field this week, are the last two players to win events on TOUR without any squares on the card. The last two winners have led the field in Scrambling.

The PGA TOUR is committed to protecting our fans. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, the National Council on Problem Gambling operates a confidential toll-free hotline that you can reach by phone or text at 1-800-522-4700.

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