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Statistically Speaking: Cadence Bank Houston Open

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Statistically Speaking: Cadence Bank Houston Open

Sam Burns, Aaron Wise and Scottie Scheffler top stats targets



    Written by Mike Glasscott @MikeGlasscott

    The sample size might only be two previous editions but some obvious trends are appearing for those who want to play well at Memorial Park, host of this week’s Cadence Bank Houston Open.

    With the sunsets from the beaches of Mexico and Bermuda fading into the background the TOUR returns to the U.S. this week for its third edition at Memorial Park. Also fading into the background will be birdie chances as Tom Doak's municipal course design in downtown Houston puts up a massive challenge.

    The past two weeks of attacking any and every pin placement with wedges in hand will be replaced with long, nasty driving holes framed by dried out Bermuda rough approaching 2.5 inches.

    Players need to bring distance and relative accuracy while also producing above average putting weeks.

    Only four players over the first two editions have posted 10-under or better and only one of them returns for the 2022 edition, Hideki Matsuyama.

    As mentioned in Horses for Courses, this place, simply put, is quite the challenge. The par-70 stretches to 7,412 yards and will have three par-5s and five par-3s to add to the adventure. Those par-5s are some of the toughest on TOUR but if you take advantage, you can soar.

    The tournament scoring record is 13-under 267 while Scottie Scheffler posted 62 in the second-round last year to post the tournament course record.

    Key Statistics

    Only players listed are competing this week; click stat headline for additional players; Stats from 2021-22 completed season.

    Playing over 7,400 yards this par-70 suits those who can give it a knock and find the short grass. Massive greens (7,000 square feet) will catch most approach shots regardless, but those playing from the short grass will have an easier time of it. Those of you who are curious for KFT graduates stats please click here and navigate.

    RankPlayer
    4Keith Mitchell
    6Brendan Steele
    9Cameron Champ
    12Taylor Pendrith
    15Tony Finau
    18Emiliano Grillo
    21Trey Mullinax
    24Austin Smotherman
    27Ryan Palmer
    31Aaron Wise
    T32Nick Hardy

    Scoring here is nothing short of difficult. Birdie or Better Conversion Percentage was dead last in 2021 and fourth worst in 2020. Par Breakers are nowhere to be found either as Memorial Park ranked fourth worst last year and sixth worst in 2020. Take advantage when possible but grinding out pars is fantastic this week.

    RankPlayer
    2Tony Finau
    5Mark Hubbard
    9Scottie Scheffler
    14Alex Noren
    15Hideki Matsuyama
    18Adam Long
    19Aaron Wise
    20Kevin Streelman
    21Denny McCarthy
    22Andrew Putnam

    Of the three par-5s, two annually rate as a couple of the most difficult on TOUR. And the third is usually the easiest hole on the course. On a track where scoring is few and far between, those who can steal a few here should thrive. The last two winners sat second and T1 in this category.

    RankPlayer
    T5Scottie Scheffler
    T7Sam Burns
    T12Keith Mitchell
    T14Mark Hubbard
    T14Tony Finau
    T14Maverick McNealy
    T17Cameron Champ
    T24Si Woo Kim
    T24Sahith Theegala, Aaron Wise
    T24Erik van Rooyen, Brandon Wu

    Thankfully the large Bermuda putting surfaces aren't running at lightning speeds so putts can be properly lagged. Three Putting isn't on the radar this week, which is also helpful. The two champs have ranked third and fifth in this category.

    RankPlayer
    2Denny McCarthy
    5Beau Hossler
    7Kelly Kraft
    10Sam Burns
    13Chesson Hadley
    14Mackenzie Hughes
    18Alex Noren
    19Maverick McNealy
    20Justin Rose
    24Adam Long

    The Bottom Line

    After two editions the field will have a better understanding of what does and doesn't work here. Those playing for the third time will have an upper hand at knowing just when and where the teeth of Memorial Park lurk. The more fairways and greens, the better, as usual, should keep bogeys to a manageable number.

    Sam Burns (+1400) and Aaron Wise (+1800) jump off the page from above and Scottie Scheffler (+600), as usual, should have our attention. Adam Long (+6600) and Denny McCarthy (+4000) post up nicely for those looking outside the top of the top for value.

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