Stats Report
  • Highlights

    Win probabilities: Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard

  • Highlights

    Tyrrell Hatton sinks a 31-foot birdie putt at Arnold Palmer

2022 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Round 2

Top 10 win probabilities:

1. Viktor Hovland (1, -9, 33.8%)
2. Rory McIlroy (T2, -7, 23.2%)
3. Talor Gooch (T2, -7, 12.5%)
4. Tyrrell Hatton (T2, -7, 9.1%)
5. Billy Horschel (5, -6, 6.5%)
6. Jon Rahm (T13, -2, 3.4%)
7. Sam Burns (T6, -3, 1.3%)
8. Cameron Young (T6, -3, 1.1%)
9. Paul Casey (T6, -3, 1.0%)
10. Scottie Scheffler (T20, -1, 0.9%)

Top Strokes-Gained Performers from Round 2:

Putting: Viktor Hovland +5.2
Around the Green: Tyrrell Hatton +3.7
Approach the Green: Paul Casey +4.2
Off-the-tee: Keith Mitchell +2.2
Total: Viktor Hovland +8.3

NOTE: These reports are based off of the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.


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