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Stats Report
  • Round Recaps

    Win probabilities: TOUR Championship

  • Round Recaps

    Brooks Koepka takes one-stroke lead into weekend at TOUR Championship

2019 TOUR Championship, End of Round 2.

Top 10 win probabilities:

  1. Brooks Koepka (1, -13, 29.2%)
  2. Rory McIlroy (T2, -12, 26.7%)
  3. Justin Thomas (T2, -12, 23.5%)
  4. Xander Schauffele (4, -11, 10.8%)
  5. Paul Casey (5, -9, 4.3%)
  6. Patrick Cantlay (6, -7, 2.6%)
  7. Patrick Reed (T7, -6, 0.6%)
  8. Adam Scott (10, -5, 0.6%)
  9. Jon Rahm (T11, -4, 0.5%)
  10. Matt Kuchar (T7, -6, 0.3%)

Top Strokes-Gained Performers from Round 2:

Putting: Paul Casey +3.41

Around the Green: Webb Simpson +1.66

Approach the Green: Chez Reavie +4.00

Off-the-tee: Jason Kokrak +1.41

Total: Chez Reavie +6.47

NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the TOUR Championship, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.