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Stats Report
  • Highlights

    Win probabilities: WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational

  • Highlights

    Jon Rahm sticks approach to set up birdie at WGC-FedEx St. Jude

2019 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational, End of Round 2.

Top 10 win probabilities:

  1. Matthew Fitzpatrick (1, -9, 17.6%)
  2. Patrick Cantlay (T2, -7, 16.2%)
  3. Jon Rahm (T2, -7, 15.6%)
  4. Billy Horschel (T2, -7, 6.9%)
  5. Justin Rose (T7, -5, 5.3%)
  6. Brooks Koepka (T7, -5, 4.9%)
  7. Rory McIlroy (T13, -4, 4.5%)
  8. Webb Simpson (T7, -5, 4.2%)
  9. Cameron Smith (T2, -7, 4.1%)
  10. Hideki Matsuyama (T13, -4, 2.9%)

Top strokes-gained performances:

Putting: Matthew Fitzpatrick +3.2

Around-the-green: Bubba Watson +2.2

Approach: Jim Furyk +3.6

Off-the-tee: Rory McIlroy +1.8

Total: Matthew Fitzpatrick +6.1

NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.