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Stats Report
  • Highlights

    Win probabilities: Charles Schwab Challenge

  • Highlights

    Tony Finau’s 21-foot birdie putt on No. 6 at Charles Schwab

2019 Charles Schwab Challenge, End of Round 2

Top 15 win probabilities:

  1. Tony Finau (T2, -8, 29%)

  2. Jonas Blixt (1, -9, 16.5%)

  3. Kevin Na (T2, -8, 15.3%)

  4. Rory Sabbatini (4, -6, 7.8%)

  5. Jim Furyk (T5, -5, 5.2%)

  6. Jordan Spieth (T5, -5, 5.1%)

  7. C.T. Pan (T5, -5, 3.6%)

  8. Nick Watney (T5, -5, 2.5%)

  9. Jason Dufner (T5, -5, 2%)

  10. Trey Mullinax (10, -4, 1.6%)

  11. Tyrrell Hatton (T11, -3, 1.5%)

  12. Scott Piercy (T14, -2, 1.2%)

  13. Ryan Palmer (T11, -3, 1.1%)

  14. Daniel Berger (T14, -2, 0.7%)

  15. Emiliano Grill (T21, -1, 0.5%)

Strokes-gained leaders from Round 2:

  1. Putting: Martin Kaymer +4.24

  2. Around-the-green: Tim Herron +3.64

  3. Approach: Jonas Blixt +4.34

  4. Off-the-tee: Jhonattan Vegas +2.49

  5. Total: Kevin Na +8.65

NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the Charles Schwab Challenge, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.