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Stats Report
  • STAT BROTHERS

    Win probabilities: PGA Championship

  • Adam Scott comments after Round 2 of the PGA Championship

2019 PGA Championship, End of Round 2.

Top 15 win probabilities:

  1. Brooks Koepka (1, -12, 71.7%)
  2. Dustin Johnson (T4, -4, 6.1%)
  3. Adam Scott (T2, -5, 4.1%)
  4. Justin Rose (9, -3, 2.5%)
  5. Jordan Spieth (T2, -5, 1.9%)
  6. Luke List (T4, -4, 1.5%)
  7. Matt Wallace (T4, -4, 1.3%)
  8. Daniel Berger (T4, -4, 1.2%)
  9. Rickie Fowler (T10, -2, 1.2%)
  10. Hideki Matsuyama (T10, -2, 1.1%)
  11. Tommy Fleetwood (T10, -2, 0.9%)
  12. Patrick Cantlay (T19, -1, 0.7%)
  13. Louis Oosthuizen (T10, -2, 0.7%)
  14. Xander Schauffele (T19, -1, 0.6%)
  15. Kelly Kraft (T4, -4, 0.5%)

Strokes-gained leaders from Round 2:

Putting: Rich Beem +4.8

Around-the-green: Daniel Berger +3.4

Approach: Kelly Kraft +4.5

Off-the-tee: Bubba Watson +2.1

Total: Adam Scott +7.6

NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the PGA Championship, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.