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  • Win probabilities: Masters Tournament

  • It has been shaping up for an exciting weekend at the Masters. (Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images)It has been shaping up for an exciting weekend at the Masters. (Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images)

2019 Masters Tournament, End of Round 2

Top 20 win probabilities:

1. Dustin Johnson (T6, -6, 13.5%)
2. Jason Day (T1, -7, 11.4%)
3. Brooks Koepka (T1, -7, 9.6%)
4. Adam Scott (T1, -7, 8.5%)
5. Louis Oosthuizen (T1, -7, 8.2%)
6. Francesco Molinari (T1, -7, 8%)
7. Tiger Woods (T6, -6, 7.4%)
8. Xander Schauffele (T6, -6, 7.2%)
9. Jon Rahm (T10, -5, 5.7%)
10. Ian Poulter (T10, -5, 2.5%)
11. Justin Thomas (T16, -3, 2.3%)
12. Matt Kuchar (T12, -4, 1.7%)
13. Justin Harding (T6, -6, 1.5%)
14. Charles Howell III (T12, -4, 1.5%)
15. Bryson DeChambeau (T16, -3, 1.5%)
16. Gary Woodland (T16, -3, 1.3%)
17. Rickie Fowler (T16, -3, 1.3%)
18. Tony Finau (T16, -3, 1.2%)
19. Phil Mickelson (T12, -4, 1.1%)
20. Tommy Fleetwood (T23, -2, 0.8%)

NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 15K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the Valero Texas Open, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.