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Stats Report
  • Highlights

    Cut prediction: AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

  • Highlights

    Dustin Johnson sticks approach to set up birdie at AT&T Pebble Beach

2019 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, End of Round 1:

Round 1 course scoring averages:

Pebble Beach (PB): -0.6 strokes per round

Spyglass Hill (SH): 0.0

Monterey Peninsula (MP): -2.1

Current cutline: 67 players at -2 or better (T54th position)

Top 3 most likely projected cutlines (cut is after 3rd round to low 60 and ties):

4 under par: 16.9%

5 under par: 16.8%

3 under par: 14.9%

Top 5 win probabilities (first round course listed):

  1. Dustin Johnson (MP, T9, -5) : 14.9%

  2. Jason Day (MP, T3, -6) : 9.2%

  3. Tony Finau (PB, T29, -3): 7.3%

  4. Phil Mickelson (MP, T3, -6): 4.2%

  5. Si Woo Kim (PB, T3, -6): 3.7%

NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 10K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.