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Stats Report
  • Interviews

    Win probability: Sony Open in Hawaii, Round 1

  • Interviews

    Matt Kuchar comments after Round 1 of Sony Open

Current cutline: 75 players at -1 or better (T52nd position)

Top 3 most likely projected cutlines:

1 under par: 28.9%

Even par: 22.4%

2 under par: 21.9%

Notable players below the cutline:

  1. Jordan Spieth (+3, 24.0% Made Cut probability)

  2. Gary Woodland (+1, 62.0%)

  3. Paul Casey (+2, 41.1%)

Top 5 win probabilities:

  1. Andrew Putnam (2, -8) : 16.0%

  2. Matt Kuchar (3, -7) : 12.4%

  3. Justin Thomas (T17, -3) : 9.9%

  4. Adam Svensson (1, -9) : 5.2%

  5. Chez Reavie (T4, -5) : 4.8%

NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 10K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the Sony Open in Hawaii, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.