Statistically Speaking: Fortinet Championship
September 13, 2022
By Mike Glasscott , PGATOUR.COM
- Corey Conners looks primed for a good week finding himself in two key stat categories. (Rob Carr/Getty Images)
Welcome back and welcome aboard!
After two weekends without PGA TOUR golf the offseason is over and the final wrap around season begins. As promised, we are ready to find a statistical edge as you research difference makers for your gaming and fantasy needs.
The Fortinet Championship welcomes the newly minted graduates from the Korn Ferry Tour, who played through the final weekend of August, mixed with TOUR players who were off since being eliminated from the FedExCup Playoffs.
Silverado Resort and Spa (North Course) hosts for the ninth time and provides a familiar backdrop for some Horses for Courses. It usually ranks in the middle of the pack annually when it comes to difficulty.
The par-72 checks in at 7,122 yards and should provide ample scoring opportunities with four shorter par-5s. Bent/Poa greens average 6,200 square feet but are devilish in their breaks, humps and bumps. Usually, they run at only 11.5 feet on the stimp, meaning plenty of putts should get to the hole. Survive the difficult par-3 holes and score on the others!
Stewart Cink (21-under) set the tournament record two years ago while Ricky Barnes (not entered) and Chesson Hadley share the course record of 61. Emiliano Grillo (2015-16) is the only maiden victor.
Interestingly California ties have been a part of three of the last five winners.
Let's look back at what past champions have used to excel at Silverado.
Only players competing this week listed; click stat headline for additional players; Stats from 2021-22 completed season.
The previous eight winners have all posted T17 or better in this category with six of the eight registering in the top 10. Power players have triumphed here recently (Homa, Cink and Champ) so eating up this short-ish track off the tee and finding fairways is step one. The back half is paying off the tee ball with GIR. If 19-under is the winning score, plenty of chances will be needed. Those of you who are curious for KFT graduates stats, please click here and navigate.
Rank Player 2 Corey Conners 7 Hayden Buckley 8 Brendan Steele 11 Martin Laird 14 Austin Smotherman 16 Taylor Pendrith 17 Emiliano Grillo 18 Lucas Glover 21 Russell Knox 26 Alex Smalley
Last year Homa became the first winner of eight to not finish in the Top 3 in Bogey Avoidance (T32; nine bogeys). There were only seven over par rounds in the top 27 last season. Plenty of birdies will be made so keeping a clean card is of higher significance than other weeks.
Rank Player 5 Mark Hubbard 6 Matt Kuchar 14 Alex Noren 15 Hideki Matsuyama 18 Adam Long 20 Kevin Streelman 21 Denny McCarthy 22 Andrew Putnam 24 Corey Conners 28 Greyson Sigg
The 16th played the easiest on the course in the opening round while the fifth had the honor in the final three rounds. With all four at 575 yards or less, everyone should have a chance to shave a few strokes off their total. Of the last eight winners half registered inside the top three in this category.
Rank Player 7 Max Homa 12 Cam Percy 14 Mark Hubbard 14 Maverick McNealy 17 Cameron Champ 24 Sahith Theegala 24 Brandon Wu 32 Michael Gligic 32 Hideki Matsuyama 32 Trey Mullinax, Others
Corey Conners, Hideki Matsuyama and Mark Hubbard find their way onto two of the three above lists. Conners is +1600 with BetMGM online sportsbook to win outright with his Presidents Cup teammate at +1400. Hubbard, a sleeper, is +300 for a Top 20.
For the record, players from the above charts with California connections include Homa, McNealy, Champ, Wu, Steele, Smotherman, Hubbard, Putnam and Theegala.
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