Roundtable: When will Tiger win his next TOUR event?text sizeThe last time Tiger Woods raised his arms in triumph at a PGA TOUR event was the 2009 BMW Championship.February 06, 2012
PGA TOUR staff
While Tiger Woods' victory at last December's Chevron World Challenge ended a personal winless streak that spanned two years, he still hasn't won an official PGA TOUR event since the 2009 BMW Championship.
Will Pebble Beach, site of some of Woods' greatest accomplishments and this week's AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am, be where he gets his next victory? Or will it be somewhere else? And when?
We asked some of our experts to chime in with the answer to one simple question:
When will Tiger Woods win his next PGA TOUR event?
YOUR TURN: Let us know your answer to the question
Brian Wacker, PGATOUR.COM: It will be this year, and sooner than later. It's pretty evident that Woods has come a long way and is growing more and more comfortable with the swing changes he's been working on with Sean Foley.
Forget that he didn't close out a win in Abu Dhabi despite leading after 54 holes. He had one bad day of ball-striking -- the fact that it came in the final round simply magnified it -- and he still shot even par.
The days of Tiger winning a half-dozen times a year are over, at least with any regularity, but I see no reason why he won't win two or three times this season. His game is that good right now. Tiger's next win: Masters
John Swantek, Host, On the Tee: Let's give Woods a mulligan for 2011. Injury, personal turmoil and a swing change would preclude nearly any player from achieving his best. Now it's time to produce against a full field, and anything less than a title will not be satisfactory -- to Tiger or a hungry golfing public.
Book it. Woods will find the winner's circle on a course that helped build his legacy with six wins; returning to glory in the city where his downfall was precipitated. Because he no longer dominates, he will have to grind out a victory.
With an average winning score of 8-under par over the last five years, Bay Hill is the ideal venue. Tiger's next win: Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by MasterCard
Fred Albers, SiriusXM PGA TOUR Radio: We have to make a lot of assumptions to answer that question. First, what tournaments will he enter? We know he'll be at Pebble Beach this week, and there is a lot to like about Tiger at Pebble Beach.
In 2000 he turned in one of the remarkable performances in golf history at the U.S.Open, but he also hasn't played this tournament in 10 years. And it's not just Pebble Beach, but Spyglass and Monterey Peninsula Country Club, too. That's three different courses and he could catch a bad weather day on one.
Meanwhile, match play is such a volatile format; one bad round or one hot opponent and you're gone. So the World Golf Championships-Accenture Match Play Championship is not a good pick. If Tiger plays The Honda Classic, well ... PGA National is a great long track for Tiger, but I simply can't pick him to win a tournament he usually doesn't play.
TPC Blue Monster at Doral is long, too, and he's won there before. Plus there are only about 70 players and there's no cut. So I think that's your answer. Tiger's next win: World Golf Championships-Cadillac Championship
Mike McAllister, PGATOUR.COM: I think Tiger will break his drought some time this year, but he'll need a few starts under his belt.
By the time he gets to Muirfield Village, he'll have played in a handful of TOUR events, plus have a significant amount of practice time. He'll also likely be coming off a two-week break, so he should be plenty rested.
Oh, and did I mention Tiger has won the event four times and that in his last 40 rounds there, just three have been worse than par? Now imagine the scene if Jack Nicklaus welcomes back Tiger to the winner's circle. Pure magic. Tiger's next win: the Memorial Tournament presented by Nationwide Insurance
Mark Carnevale, SiriusXM PGA TOUR Radio: I still believe Tiger's game is a work in progress. Yes, he won a limited field event in December, but a win is a win. As a golfer, any confidence you get ultimately is a huge benefit and winning breeds confidence.
I do however believe he needs to play more. If he happens to add The Honda Classic, which I believe he should, that will give him some momentum. Tiger's next win: World Golf Championships-Cadillac Championship
Helen Ross, PGATOUR.COM: Tiger is nothing if not a creature of habit. Not only does his schedule tend to be the same year after year, he has a penchant for winning the same tournaments multiple times.
I have no doubt that he will break his drought this year now that he's healthy and understands the swing he's so carefully crafted with Sean Foley. He's just too talented. And what better place than at Bay Hill, where he has six victories, including four in a row? Tiger's next win: Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by MasterCard