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  • The Takeaway

    Cut prediction: Houston Open

  • The Takeaway

    Astros pup, Hammer Time & the Lonestar State shines

2020 Houston Open, End of Round 1.

Scoring Conditions:

Overall average: -0.54 strokes per round
Morning wave: -1.32
Afternoon wave: +0.26

Current cutline (top 65 and ties)

74 players at -1 or better (T56th position)

Top 3 projected cutline probabilities:

  1. 1 under par: 26%
  2. 2 under par: 25.3%
  3. Even par: 17.2%

Top 10 win probabilities:

  1. Austin Cook (T1, -8, 9.3%)
  2. Sepp Straka (3, -7, 7.6%)
  3. Talor Gooch (T1, -8, 7.4%)
  4. Lanto Griffin (T4, -6, 6.6%)
  5. Russell Henley (T4, -6, 6.2%)
  6. Xinjun Zhang (T7, -5, 5.4%)
  7. Cameron Tringale (T14, -4, 4.1%)
  8. Nick Watney (T7, -5, 3.2%)
  9. Mark Hubbard (T14, -4, 3%)
  10. Scottie Scheffler (T23, -3, 2.9%)

NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the Houston Open, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.