You know you wanna, so go ahead. You learned your lesson. Make it count.
One & Doners trapped between caution and conviction were second-guessing themselves when Tiger Woods emerged from the logjam at the Masters to secure his fifth green jacket.
Now there's no doubt that Woods gets the call at Bethpage State Park's Black Course, site of the PGA Championship as well as his 2002 U.S. Open title. You saw – and felt – what transpired at Augusta National, and you've observed him exert careful ownership of his schedule. If there are tournaments that you know he won't bypass, they are the majors. Despite what you'll find below, those are the only Future Possibilities on which you should be focusing.
Pebble Beach hosts the U.S. Open in a month, so pick your pleasure. Woods is a winner there, too – twice, in fact, if you include the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. It's been 19 years since both, but it had been 14 years since his last victory at the Masters. As Woods has acknowledged, Father Time is undefeated, but GOATs make sure that he doesn't prevail before receiving a powerful punch.
If you're also sitting on Phil Mickelson, then save him for Pebble Beach where's he's won five times in the annual PGA TOUR event contested every winter. That includes earlier this year. Lefty couldn't have hand-picked a better site to convert on the career grand slam. Default to Woods at the PGA and you're solid.
Of course, it's 2019 and not 2000 or 2002, so there are more than enough familiar faces in whom to invest at Bethpage.
Defending champion Brooks Koepka will run away with the highest ownership percentage in PGA TOUR Fantasy One & Done. And he should. His swagger is what every gamer wants. His form is tip-top and he has a chip on his shoulder since he probably still can't believe how his birdie try on the 72nd hole of the Masters didn't fall.
Rory McIlroy has spent the majority of this year camped out atop leaderboards. He's also proven that he's human when the pressure mounts, but he's going to thrive at Bethpage. Long and accurate off the tee plays everywhere, but it's a cheat code on Long Island. Pause only to holster him for The Open Championship at Royal Portrush in his native Northern Ireland.
Rickie Fowler continues to inch closer to his first victory in a major. You can't rule it out anywhere, but Bethpage is the best fit of the remaining three this season. He's ideal if you're chasing.
If you've burned Mickelson and have a plan other than Dustin Johnson this week, then save DJ for the U.S. Open. He's another gem at Pebble Beach where his experience, success and comfort will supersede the setup. He'll also be seeking revenge for a final-round meltdown the last time the course hosted in 2010.
Of all of the other notables at Bethpage, only Jason Day and Francesco Molinari pique my interest. Pivot to either if you're in need of a contingency.
Like Fowler, Jon Rahm also presents strongly to cut into a deficit. He's rapidly figuring out how to put four rounds together consistently by neutralizing emotion while saving strokes. It's scary to consider his potential once he climbs over the hump of intangibles that have nothing to do with the swing. The Spaniard possesses every athletic requirement for golf. It's where we can find Koepka now.
All of the others in the first 20 of my Power Rankings deserve a peek in two-man games, but scan Future Possibilities to map out short- and long-term strategies. Choices such as Justin Rose, Xander Schauffele, Sergio Garcia, Matt Kuchar and Hideki Matsuyama project as smart saves given who's expected to flex for the Wanamaker Trophy.
Rank Expert Pick Comment 87th
This is almost as easy as circling Tiger Woods at the Masters and I still have a series of haymakers to throw the rest of the way. Patience and planning is paying dividends. 103rd
Jon Rahm If others hadn’t plumped for Rory or Brooks already I would have probably taken one of them. But I’m no sheep. And Rahm’s evolution continues to impress. 156th
Dustin Johnson He’s overdue for major No. 2. 163rd
He'll be the "underdog" again this week and that will suit him just fine. The defending champ knocked off the rust last week with a big finish at AT&T Byron Nelson and has all the tools to defend his title. I'm saving Woods for Pebble Beach. 166th
On the Mark
At this course ... with his record and game ... it was always my plan. 633rd
I’ve been saving McIlroy for this week ever since the PGA agreed to move to May. This two-time PGA champ excels on long, soft golf courses. Bethpage Black will provide the perfect conditions for this year’s PLAYERS champ to get back to No. 1 in the FedExCup.
NOTE: Select golfers committed to the tournament are listed alphabetically. Future tournaments are sorted chronologically and reflect previous success on the courses on which the tournaments will be held in 2018-19. The numerical values in parentheses represent the order of relative confidence of where to use each golfer if multiple sites are listed (e.g. 1 for strongest, 2 for next-strongest and so on). To present weighted confidence in real time, numerical values will not change all season no matter how many tournament remain listed for each golfer. All are pending golfer commitment.
Byeong Hun An … Memorial (1)
Daniel Berger … Travelers (1)
Keegan Bradley … Memorial (5); Travelers (4)
Rafa Cabrera Bello … Wyndham (4)
Patrick Cantlay … Memorial (3)
Paul Casey … Travelers (1); TOUR Championship (3)
Jason Day … PGA Championship (3); U.S. Open (10); Open Championship (9)
Bryson DeChambeau … Travelers (4); John Deere (7)
Jason Dufner … Charles Schwab (6); Memorial (5); U.S. Open (2); Wyndham (8); TOUR Championship (10)
Tony Finau … Memorial (2)
Rickie Fowler … PGA Championship (9); Memorial (5); U.S. Open (10)
Sergio Garcia … Open Championship (5); TOUR Championship (2)
Branden Grace … U.S. Open (4)
Emiliano Grillo … Charles Schwab (3)
Adam Hadwin … John Deere (5)
Brian Harman … Charles Schwab (1); Travelers (5); John Deere (4)
Charley Hoffman … Charles Schwab (6); Travelers (1)
Billy Horschel … Wyndham (6); TOUR Championship (1)
Dustin Johnson … PGA Championship (11); Memorial (10); U.S. Open (1); WGC-St. Jude (6); TOUR Championship (7)
Zach Johnson … Charles Schwab (5); John Deere (1); Open Championship (2); TOUR Championship (8)
Kevin Kisner … Charles Schwab (2); Memorial (6)
Brooks Koepka … PGA Championship (2; defending); Charles Schwab (6); U.S. Open (1; two-time defending); Open Championship (8)
Matt Kuchar … Charles Schwab (7); Memorial (1); Open Championship (8)
Marc Leishman … Memorial (4); Travelers (3); Open Championship (8)
Hideki Matsuyama … PGA Championship (13); Memorial (8); U.S. Open (14); Wyndham (7); TOUR Championship (5)
Rory McIlroy … Memorial (5); Travelers (8); Open Championship (1); TOUR Championship (6)
Phil Mickelson … U.S. Open (6); Open Championship (9); WGC-St. Jude (3)
Francesco Molinari … PGA Championship (4); Open Championship (1; defending)
Ryan Moore … Memorial (11); Travelers (6); John Deere (8); Wyndham (2); TOUR Championship (9)
Kevin Na … Charles Schwab (3); Wyndham (5)
Louis Oosthuizen … PGA Championship (4)
Ryan Palmer … Charles Schwab (4)
Scott Piercy … Canadian (7; last winner at Hamilton in 2012)
Jon Rahm … Charles Schwab (1); TOUR Championship (7)
Patrick Reed … PGA Championship (4); U.S. Open (3); Travelers (7)
Justin Rose … Charles Schwab (7; defending); Memorial (4); Open Championship (8); TOUR Championship (2)
Xander Schauffele … Open Championship (4); TOUR Championship (1)
Adam Scott … PGA Championship (8); U.S. Open (9); Open Championship (7); TOUR Championship (3)
Webb Simpson … Charles Schwab (8); Travelers (9); Wyndham (1)
Cameron Smith … Wyndham (3)
Brandt Snedeker … Charles Schwab (7); U.S. Open (5); Travelers (9); Wyndham (1; defending)
Jordan Spieth … PGA Championship (7); Charles Schwab (5); Memorial (13); U.S. Open (4); Travelers (9); Open Championship (6); TOUR Championship (8)
Henrik Stenson … PGA Championship (4); Open Championship (6); Wyndham (8); TOUR Championship (7)
Bubba Watson … Memorial (7); Travelers (2; defending); TOUR Championship (8)
Gary Woodland … Memorial (4)
Tiger Woods … PGA Championship (6); Memorial (4); THE NORTHERN TRUST (7); TOUR Championship (5; defending)