Expert picks: HP Byron Nelson Championship

May 19, 2009
PGA TOUR staff
How it works: Our 10 experts from PGATOUR.COM select the player they think will win this week's event. By using a draft process, no two picks can be the same.
Of the players who didn't make the cut for our top 10 picks, which have the best chance as sleepers? Here's how our experts see it. Click here
Expert picks: HP Byron Nelson Championship
Pick order Player selected
IAN POULTER. Poulter did me proud at THE PLAYERS with a second-place finish, and he tied for third at the Byron Nelson in '07. Get it done Poulty.
JUSTIN LEONARD. He tied for fifth last week at the Valero Texas Open. Plus, Leonard hasn't missed a cut here since 2000 and has four top-20 finishes there in that time.
If Spoor had the top pick ... Leonard
BRIAN DAVIS. He was T14 at Houston and T5 in San Antonio last week, so Texas has treated him quite well this year. (Our best wishes to Amy and Phil Mickelson; Lefty was originally slotted in this spot before Wednesday's sad news.)
If McAllister had the top pick ... Poulter
CHARLEY HOFFMAN. I'm riding Hoffman for a second straight week after he finished in the top 10 in San Antonio. Though he has struggled at times this season, Hoffman plays well in the Lone Star State and that should continue this week.
If Wacker had the top pick ... Hoffman
DAVID TOMS. Five top-10s in 11 starts this year, including a T9 at THE PLAYERS, show that Toms is a threat. Granted, he hasn't played in Dallas since missing the cut in 2004 but Toms tied for sixth and fourth the two previous years.
If Ross had the top pick ... Leonard
ANTHONY KIM. He tied for 19th here last year and while his record hasn't shown it in '09, he's the type of player capable of winning whenever he tees it up. This week is a home game, which might be added incentive.
If Auclair had the top pick ... Leonard
RORY SABBATINI. He's had a strong season in '09 with three top-10s, including a T2 just a few weeks ago in New Orleans. Sabbatini tied for third in Dallas in '07 -- maybe he wins in front of his local fans this time around.
If McMurry had the top pick ... Leonard
CHARLES HOWELL III. He's come close several times this season, including a T2 at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans last month. After a week off, Howell should be ready to go.
If Swantek had the top pick ... Poulter
DUSTIN JOHNSON. I wanted to pick defending champion Adam Scott, but his game is too iffy right now. Johnson has consistently played well in 2009, with one win and four other top-25s. He also fired a third-round 62 last week.
If Deason had the top pick ... Leonard
BEN CRANE. My desperation to exit last place has reached a fever pitch. If this was the FedExCup race, I'd be 1,915th in points. Sorry, Ben. With this pick, you just missed the cut.
If Smithson had the top pick ... Leonard

The PGA TOUR heads to Dallas, Texas, for this week's HP Byron Nelson Championship. Here's how the PGATOUR.COM experts sized up the top contenders:

Standings after Week 18
Pos. Expert Wins Top 5s Top 10s Top 25s FedExCup points
1 Mike McAllister
Managing Editor, PGATOUR.COM
3 3 2 5 2,490.85
2 Win McMurry
Host, PGA TOUR Today
1 5 5 5 2,087.73
3 Ceri Mobley
Associate Producer, PGATOUR.COM
1 3 2 7 1,795.53
4 Brian Wacker
Site Producer, PGATOUR.COM
1 1 7 - 1,369.42
5 Mark Spoor
Coordinating Producer, PGATOUR.COM
1 2 1 3 1,263.80
6 T.J. Auclair
Interactive Producer, PGATOUR.COM
1 1 - 6 1,198.25
7 Helen Ross
Chief of Correspondents, PGATOUR.COM
- 5 - 6 1,017.93
8 John Swantek
Fantasy Insider, PGA TOUR Productions
- 2 - 6 819.35
9 Lauren Deason
Editorial Coordinator, PGATOUR.COM
- 1 1 4 761.69
10 Ryan Smithson
Site Producer, PGATOUR.COM
- 1 3 1 569.62

LAST WEEK: Ceri Mobley picked Zach Johnson, who won the Valero Texas Open, so she continued to gain on the leaders. Each week, we'll update the standings based on the FedExCup points accumulated by the players selected by our experts. Here's how it stands after Week 18: