Fantasy Insider: THE CJ CUP @ SUMMIT
October 12, 2021
By Rob Bolton, PGATOUR.COM
- Jordan Spieth's short game and putting will do him well at The Summit Club. (Tim Wachukwu/Getty Images)
The latest version of PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf extends a win-win at THE CJ CUP @ SUMMIT, and the gift will keep on giving in tournaments with no cut.
The first component is obvious. Barring a mid-round withdrawal or disqualification, you’re going to post four scores in each of the four rounds. No zeroes, unlike last week’s carnage.
The other half of the experience will be determined by the final result. Because end-of-tournament [EOT] bonus points have a much greater impact on overall scoring than its predecessor, there’s a directly proportional opportunity to make hay with a lesser-owned winner. In other words, and quite simply, the reduction in round-by-round scoring without a similar drop in EOT bonus points lifts the latter into a position of stronger leverage.
As of Tuesday, Sean and I have matched five of our six charges at The Summit Club. (You’ll find our lineups linked in Expert Picks below.). The only difference is that he’s rostering Marc Leishman and I’m on Tony Finau. Should Finau prevail and if he’s among my Starters in the final round, he alone could be enough to slingshot me past Sean even though we’re poised to be a virtual push until the EOT bonus points.
This kind of volatility wasn’t possible in the most recent version of the game. What’s more, if our guys play poorly and unique investments for Cam, Ben and Glass contend or even win, the top five in the overall standings quickly will evolve into a fantasy version of Pick-Up Sticks.
As PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf continues to roll out enhancements, I’ve been detailing a few of them in this space weekly. Not all improvements and tweaks require attention, but the latest to share is of considerable importance.
Note that the three circles have returned to the player cards on your ROSTER page. The total of blue circles equals your number of starts remaining for the Segment. The total of gray circles represents starts burned. When adding players as STARTERS to your ROSTER, a blue circle will turn gray, but it won’t count as a start burned until the deadline for the tournament falls.
This “in-ROSTER” viewpoint always has been valuable in all versions of the game because it didn’t require a series of steps to attempt to learn how many starts you have remaining on guys for whom you may not want to burn a start after a deadline fell. However, now that EOT bonus points are worth much more relative to overall scoring, it’s not going to be as risky to plug in a guy only for the final round. Just like how THE CJ CUP @ SUMMIT should transpire in fantasy, the pendulum for general strategy has swung from addition-by-subtraction to addition-by-addition.
PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf
My roster for THE CJ CUP @ SUMMIT (in alphabetical order):
You’ll find my starters in Expert Picks.
POWER RANKINGS WILD CARD
Jason Kokrak (+4000 to win) … It feels like it’s not often that a defending champion slides into this position – despite my OCD tendencies, I don’t keep records – but this is proper. He’s the total package, but he’s not on Shadow Creek this week, a track where his personal knowledge yielded a career-defining accomplishment last year. Given his long and successful career on the PGA TOUR, I’m not concerned that he’s experiencing a week as a defending champion for the first time. Quite simply, he’s groomed for it and the veteran will know how to reconnect with routine when his schedule can accommodate. As noted in Monday’s Power Rankings, he’s attempting to become the first since Jim Furyk at the 2007 RBC Canadian Open to successfully defend a victory in a non-major on a different course, but a top-20 finish would be acceptable in our world.
Jordan Spieth (+2200 to win) … You say you want to be a fantasy golf writer-analyst, huh? Well, then that would require survival of the daggers hurled from all directions during the week of the Ryder Cup. With Spieth slotted No. 1, my Twitter was lit up. Lit. Up. And you know what, I can’t blame anyone for the emotional reaction. (This is a perfect time to restate that the only real enemy is silence, not hate.) Loyal readers know that I’m an optimist and that I always make efforts to learn and improve. As a wise man said to me in my formative years of honing this craft, the moment you begin to defend is the moment you begin to lose. So, even though the Power Rankings for team competition always has included a disclaimer to cover for the differences versus an individual event, I have an idea of how I’d format future PRs for team competitions. Until then, Spieth deserves our extended faith at The Summit Club. He’s not a wizard with the long sticks, but he supersedes the concern because of his short game and putting. He’s ideal as a contrarian in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf.
Hideki Matsuyama (+3300 to win) … Until he truly sputters, he hasn’t lost our trust. And now the tee-to-green monster gets a joint on which his skill set can shine. Pair him with Spieth in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf and have no fear in DFS.
Aaron Wise (+5000 to win) … He was the last cut from the Power Rankings in this deep field, so confidence remains high on the 25-year-old. In fact, given his youth and that he’s already a PGA TOUR winner, his trajectory of the last year portends a continuation for years. Love him in every format this week.
Harold Varner III (+8000 to win) … This is his first start as a first-time father as HV4 was born a few days ago. HV3 already had been performing at an elevated level. How he handles the post-birth focus will be new and a big deal, but he’s built for it. It also won’t hurt being on the receiving end of numerous congratulatory handshakes and fist bumps from his peers, and shout-outs from fans throughout the week.
Tommy Fleetwood (+4000 to win) … Begins his fifth season on the PGA TOUR with everything to gain. That’s the upshot after finishing outside the top 125 in the FedExCup. While he’s eligible for the Playoffs, he’s not subject to the membership minimum of 15 starts to retain voting privileges and be subject to a one-year restriction of membership, so there’s nothing but open road ahead. (Thus the relatively lofty position of No. 117 in my full-membership fantasy ranking. Even better right now, he’s fresh off a T2-T12-T7 surge on the European Tour and that spanned the Ryder Cup appearance.
Odds sourced on Wednesday, Oct. 13 at 7 a.m. ET. For live odds visit betmgm.
Sergio Garcia (+4000 to win) … As fruitful as he’s been in the long-term, the Spaniard remains an enigma in bursts. The conservative investor in me won’t reach even without a cut. For DFSers who agree, this means that he’s quintessential chum for the sharks in that format.
Patrick Reed (+5000 to win) … The Summit Club rewards the opposite skill set. While the counterargument (above) for why I like Jordan Spieth has merit for Spieth, Reed’s leash is much shorter on tracks like this. But he’s at the front of the line for fantasy wild cards, anyway.
Cameron Tringale (+6600 to win) … As I’ve written before in this space, he’s a trap in deeper fields. Let your opposition go it alone.
Charl Schwartzel (+12500 to win) … I’m keen on trusting him but that he’s missed the cut in his last three starts with a cut after three months of lurking on leaderboards is cause for pause.
Lucas Glover (+20000 to win) … This track sets up well for his ball-striking, but the same was said about other sites since his win at the John Deere Classic three months ago. Yet, he’s just 3-for-7 and without a top-35 finish in the interim.
Byeong Hun An (+20000 to win) … The promise of a payday is about all he gets out of this start, at least for now. Because he finished 164th in the FedExCup last season, the veteran of 139 PGA TOUR starts as a professional has no status in 2021-22. As remarkable is that he never had appeared in a Korn Ferry Tour event until going MC-MC-T20 in the 2021 Finals.
RETURNING TO COMPETITION
Kevin Na … The dance continues. After earning the No. 1 position in my Power Rankings for the Shriners Children’s Open, he withdrew the following day due to an injured rib. It was his third early WD since Memorial this summer (although his early exit from The Open Championship wasn’t related to injury) and his 15th early WD since the 2019 Sentry Tournament of Champions. It’s who we accept him to be, which is why he’s always been more valuable in long-term formats in which you can absorb the blows. After last week’s knockout, give him this week to put the rib back into play. He gets four rounds to see how it responds.
RECAPS – SHRINERS CHILDREN’S OPEN
Power Ranking Golfer Result
1 Kevin Na DNP
2 Will Zalatoris MC
3 Sam Burns T14
4 Scottie Scheffler MC
5 Brooks Koepka T67
6 Webb Simpson MC
7 Abraham Ancer MC
8 Louis Oosthuizen T14
9 Joaquin Niemann T40
10 Sungjae Im Win
11 Viktor Hovland T44
12 Matthew Wolff 2nd
13 Si Woo Kim MC
14 Hideki Matsuyama T67
15 Corey Conners T40
Wild Card Harris English MC
Golfer (GolfBet prop) Result
Talor Gooch (top 10) T11
Harry Hall (top 20) T8
Nate Lashley (top 20) T35
Scott Piercy (top 20) MC
Alex Smalley (top 20) T47
OUTRIGHT: Sungjae Im (+3200) Win
PROP: Talor Gooch and Aaron Wise both to make the cut (+145) T11/T8
PROP: Patrick Reed to miss the cut (+190) MC
BIRTHDAYS AMONG ACTIVE MEMBERS OF THE PGA TOUR
October 12 … none
October 13 … none
October 14 … Tyrrell Hatton (30)
October 15 … Richard S. Johnson (45)
October 16 … Ryan Blaum (38)
October 17 … none
October 18 … none