Expert Picks: AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am

February 07, 2012
PGA TOUR staff

The AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-am is the sixth event of the 2012 season. Here's how the PGATOUR.COM experts sized up the top contenders:

How it works: Our experts from PGATOUR.COM select the player they think will win this week's event. By using a draft process, no two picks can be the same.
SLEEPER PICKS: Who might surprise at the Waste Management Phoenix Open? Our fantasy expert, Rob Bolton, selects his favorite dark horses. Click for Sleepers

MORE PEBBLE BEACH: Power Rankings | Inside the Field | Inside the Courses
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Expert picks: AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am
Pick order Player selected
TIGER WOODS. One good Sunday is all that's missing. His swing and confidence appear to be back to a winning level. Don't know whether this Sunday will be the one, but I like his chances to get in position at Pebble, where he's authored so many great moments.
PHIL MICKELSON. No, I have no clue what to expect from Mickelson. He's yet to crack the top 25 in three starts this year. But I do know that he has three wins and four other top-10s in 16 career starts here. So I'm rolling the dice and hoping Phil kicks it into gear.
If McAllister had the top pick ... Mickelson
DUSTIN JOHNSON. You can chalk up his indifferent play this year to the knee injury. He's healthy now, though, and few places get Johnson's juices flowing more than Pebble Beach where he has won the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am twice.
If Ross had the top pick ... Johnson
JOHN HUH. He's on a roll now with two top-15 finishes in his last two starts including a T6 at Farmers Insurance Open. It's a strong rookie class this year and I think Huh will be able to clinch the first W for the new guys at Pebble Beach.
If Balionis had the top pick ... Huh
RICKIE FOWLER. We saw a colorful character finally break through and win the pro-am last year, so why not a colorful dresser this year? Fowler was swinging beautifully in Phoenix and had a solid week in his lone start at this event (2010, T27).
If Dunham had the top pick ... Johnson
SPENCER LEVIN. I'm not sure he'll pull a Kyle Stanley and go from agony to ecstasy this week, but Levin has a strong record at Pebble Beach with a tie for fourth there last year and a tie for 14th in 2009.
If Wacker had the top pick ... Johnson
HUNTER MAHAN. Has played sparingly this year but looked sharp in his only appearance; a T-6 at Torrey Pines. I feel a big year coming for Mahan and like his chances at Pebble Beach, where he finished as runner-up last year.
If Swantek the top pick ... Johnson
BRYCE MOLDER. Gotta go with Rob Bolton's Power Rankings on this one. Molder has top-15 finishes in six of his last seven starts on TOUR and has posted back-to-back top 10s in this event, going T10-T6 the last two years.
If Deason had the top pick ... Woods
D.A. POINTS. The defending champion comes into this event arguably in even better shape than he did in 2011. He's already racked up two top-10s, and he looked very confident in his pre-event interview Tuesday.
If Szeker had the top pick ... Woods
AARON BADDELEY. This guy is going to surprise some people this week. He waited until Pebble Beach to get his season going in 2011, and he's always been consistent in this multi-course format. Always bet on a good putter here.
If Smithson had the top pick ... Woods
Standings after Week 5
LAST WEEK: Our experts went 10-for-10 against the cutline at TPC Scottsdale. Anne Szeker and Ryan Smithson picked up the only two top-10 finishes, however, with Webb Simpson and Jason Dufner finishing T8.
Position Name Wins Top-5s Top-10s Top-25s MCs FedExCup points
1 Chris Dunham
Editorial Coordinator
1 1 2 2 0 660.25
2 Ryan Smithson
Site Producer
1 1 2 3 0 646.00
3 Amanda Balionis
Host, PGA TOUR Today
0 2 2 2 2 381.25
4 John Swantek
Host, On The Tee
0 1 1 2 2 378.50
5 Helen Ross
Chief of Correspondents
0 1 1 3 0 374.55
6 Lauren Deason
Editorial Coordinator
0 0 1 3 0 253.50
7 Anne Szeker
Site Producer
0 0 1 3 0 231.00
8 Brian Wacker
Site Producer
0 1 1 1 2 229.50
9 John Schwarb
Site Producer
0 1 1 2 0 210.50
10 Mike McAllister
Managing Editor
0 0 0 3 0 197.22

MAKE YOUR PICKS: Let us know who you think will be victorious this week.