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August 28 2013

11:18 AM

One-and-Done: Deutsche Bank

Back-to-back wins in the FedExCup Playoffs wouldn't be unprecedented for Adam Scott.
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By Rob Bolton, PGATOUR.COM Fantasy Insider

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The most popular question before last week's Barclays was how to line up all four picks for the FedExCup Playoffs. In reply to many of the requests, I threw in the reminder that we still need to take it one tournament at a time. As cliché as it sounds, it's anything but.

If you've been reading this space all season, you know that I've had Adam Scott engraved as my pick for this week's Deutsche Bank Championship. Lo and behold, he back-doors a victory on Sunday at The Barclays. That alone is reason enough for many of you to invest elsewhere at TPC Boston. The theory, of course, is that Scott won't go back-to-back, but I'll counter with several reasons why those previously committed needs to remain on board.

-- The numbers game. The DBC is tournament No. 38. Of the 20 golfers in my Power Rankings, only three are still on my board -- Scott (second), Rory Sabbatini (18th) and Luke Donald (20th). In a vacuum, I can't endorse Sabbatini over Scott, and I'm saving Donald for the BMW Championship at Conway Farms, a course where he may be the only golfer in the field with knowledge given he's a member. (The Englishman enters this week ranked 54th in the FedExCup standings, so he's likely to advance.

-- It wouldn't be unprecedented for Scott to win consecutive events in the Playoffs. Rory McIlroy did it last year. Both Vijay Singh and Camilo Villegas did it in 2008. Tiger Woods was the first to do it in 2007. That's quite a sample size for a four-event series in just its seventh edition.

-- This isn't his first rodeo. There are some touring pros that project for a fade immediately after a surprise win, and then there are top-shelf talents like Scott where a victory merely meets the short-term expectation.

-- There's the matter of potential motivation to win the Player of the Year Award. Scott is already a lock for the Presidents Cup team, but he's merely on the short list to be voted best golfer among his peers. He may need one more title, if not the FedExCup trophy, to convince any fence-sitters.

-- Expectations. I've shared many times that my goal every week is to lasso a top 10. Even if Scott missed the cut last week, I'd be on board. Instead, he's in terrific form.

-- The way in which he won is telling. There's an argument that he may not have even felt like he won, at least compared to most of his previous victories. Throughout his post-round comments on Sunday, he admitted surprise and shock that he emerged. That doesn't speak to an emotional surge and gradual release often associated with effort and hope.

If you're going in a different direction, consider Steve Stricker as this may be his last event of the season. Others on your short list should include Webb Simpson, Jim Furyk and Rory McIlroy (if your format doesn't exclude defending champions).

SUMMARY
Last week: Jason Dufner; T37; $36,800.00
Overall record: 34-for-37
Earnings: $6,847,079.66
Wins: 2
Top 5s: 7
Top 10s: 16
Top 25s: 25
Missed cuts: 3
Withdrawals: 0
Disqualifications: 0

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