May 1 2013
Bill Haas is due for a big week at Quail Holllow. (Ehrmann/Getty Images)
By Rob Bolton, Fantasy Insider
The Wells Fargo Championship is about as cut-and-dried as it gets for one-and-doners. Either you're on board with one of three former winners at Quail Hollow or you're willing to nibble on guys playing well of late with success at this tournament. Yes, that's always the preferred formula, but the lines of demarcation are crystal clear this week.
Rory McIlroy (2010 champion), Lucas Glover (2011) and Rickie Fowler (2012) set up as your best options among the four that have emerged victorious here. They also rank a respective sixth, second and eighth in all-time earnings at Quail Hollow. Sean O'Hair (2009; 11th in earnings) doesn't resonate in one-and-dones right now.
Meanwhile, Webb Simpson, Bill Haas and Sergio Garcia -- Nos. 1, 2 and 8 in my Power Rankings -- each have at least one top five at Quail Hollow (Haas has two), and arrive in fine form. Arguments could be made for others, but none as strong any from this trio could wage.
Before deciding on your choice, there's a not-so-trivial matter of the overall impact of the reported inconsistencies of the greens at Quail Hollow. The skeptics among us may wish to play it safe and holster a top-shelf investment, but I'm of the belief that tournament officials will minimize whatever concerns may exist. The opposition could argue that all 156 golfers are playing the same course, which negates the worry, but all will be putting from different locations on greens of potentially varying reliability. Both are fair positions, but the balance tilts toward a conservative setup to avoid backlash. We also must give the benefit of the doubt to the experts in turf control that have been addressing the issues. Keep the faith.
That dynamic circles back to my selection of the week. Simpson, a devout Christian (and former religion major at Wake Forest University) is a member at Quail Hollow and finished fourth at this event last year after holding the outright lead after 54 holes. He also placed T21 in 2011. The reigning U.S. Open champion took last week off following a playoff loss at the RBC Heritage for what was his third top-six finish in his last seven starts.
Fowler is excluded in some formats since he's the defending champion, and Glover would make an automatic choice as the back half of a two-man one-and-done. It's difficult to bypass McIlroy, but it'll be nice to plug him in deeper into the season. Haas, a religious studies major at Wake Forest and born in Charlotte, has endured some struggles in closing out tournaments this season, but he still has five top 10 and this is a comfort zone kind of week. I fully endorse him if you've burned others on the short list.
As for Garcia, Quail Hollow is merely one of about a dozen possible sites to use him. The next opportunity will occur at next week's THE PLAYERS.
Last week: Justin Rose; T15; $102,300.00
Overall Record: 16-for-18
Top 5s: 5
Top 10s: 9
Top 25s: 13
Missed Cuts: 2