By Rob Bolton, PGATOUR.COM Fantasy Columnist A week ago, I
devoted this entire space as an endorsement to plug Rory McIlroy in
for the Deutsche Bank Championship. As I state all the time, it's
always a bonus when golfers fulfill their projections, but failing
to take a ride on the bandwagon can prove costly. Here are tales
from both sides of last week's decision on whether to invest.
I’m in fifth place in my fantasy league of 40
players. I’m roughly $1.3 million out of first. I’m the
only one who still has McIlroy in the bag (yep, could have, would
have, should have -- PGA/Deutsche Bank). Given the field sizes and
payouts of the last two tourneys, where would you use him -- BMW
Championship or the TOUR Championship by Coca-Cola?
During the FedExCup Playoffs, we can pick two players for
each tourney. I have Sergio Garcia, Webb Simpson and Nick Watney to
round out my final four picks of the season (with McIlroy). My
original plan is Simpson/Garcia (BMW) and McIlroy/Watney (finale).
-- Scott It's funny how the dynamics shift our
preparation. McIlroy's cachet aside, before the Playoffs, I would
have circled Crooked Stick as the only track on the short list. The
logic was simple, too. He had just romped at Kiawah Island, another
Pete Dye creation, and the host course for the BMW is a mystery to
the majority of the field. This is to say that the playing field is
level. McIlroy is still learning the courses, but he's not at a
disadvantage. Then, after further inspection last week, he shoved
his way into the focal point of investments, thus earning my
attention, and therefore yours. Now, he'll be gunning for
consecutive victories. It's a rare achievement because it's hard to
do and the law of averages tilts heavily toward the field. Given
these factors, I agree that you wait until East Lake to burn him. I
have no reason to argue the positioning of the other three on your
agenda.
In my one-and-done league, I was the only one with Rory
McIlroy last week. Moved me from 10th to fourth place. My league
goes to the very end of the season but I want to finish the
Playoffs strong. My top-ranked players left are: Nick Watney,
Sergio Garcia, Ernie Els, Bo Van Pelt, John Senden, John Huh. Any
one of these guys jump out at you as a good fit for Crooked Stick?
-- Sean One of the most challenging -- if not impossible
-- aspects of what I do is attempting to translate how I perceive a
situation involving competitive spirit into quantifiable data. For
example, as an observer of the sport for the entirety of Jim
Furyk's career, I refused to consider that he wasn't going to play
his way onto the Ryder Cup team. Whether his T13 at TPC Boston
played a role in that fact is irrelevant, but that he got the job
done fulfilled the expectation, and you can't measure heart, grit
and all of the other intangibles a veteran like him possesses.
Transcending a similar vibe, while Watney didn't crack the Ryder
Cup squad, his work is far from over. After winning The Barclays,
he tied for 20th at the Deutsche Bank Championship and sits second
in FedExCup points entering the BMW. I'd like to believe that he'll
shake off any disappointment from not qualifying for the biennial
team competition at Medinah Country Club and dump all of his focus
on winning the FedExCup. Not only is Watney playing well and owns
the kind of game seemingly necessary for success at Crooked Stick,
but history is on his side as well. Since the current version of
the FedExCup was introduced in 2009, the top three in points
entering the BMW Championship have entered the finale inside the
top five. If any in the top five at the TOUR Championship by
Coca-Cola win that event, he will be declared the FedExCup
champion. Watney controls his own fate. He's also my one-and-done
pick this week.