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August 9 2012

12:05 AM

Fantasy mailbag: PGA Championship

By Rob Bolton, PGATOUR.COM Fantasy Columnist "Glory's Last Shot" doesn't refer only to the PGA Championship. Fantasy leagues are decided this week as well. I am in our last week of the fantasy golf league and I'm in the lead by two points. We get points for top 20s and ties with majors as double points. Here is my lineup: Bill Haas, Rory McIlroy, Justin Rose, Jason Dufner. My question is who is my fifth player? I have the following available: Peter Hanson, Ryan Palmer, Sang-moon Bae (not really an option based on the other two). Thanks for your help. -- Wilson Palmer jumped off the page in an instant, so I'll circle him. For more insight, see "On a Roll" in my fantasy preview. While explosive, Hanson has been a bit inconsistent of late, and that matters when you need to get picky. Meanwhile, Bae has not fared well ever since he sustained a sore right shoulder in April. The PGA Championship is our last tournament left in our league and I have a moderate lead in first place. Left on my roster are Bubba Watson and Louis Oosthuizen (the two I like). I have a slight leaning toward Watson. I'm also considering Oosthuizen due to the fact he's the hot hand. So, just wanted get your thoughts on either since I just need a somewhat conservative approach. Thanks. -- Keith Can't go wrong with either. In your position, however, Watson is, indeed, the safer play. Not only has he flown at a consistently high level for most of the year, but with the adoption process for his son now complete and his focus centered on golf, the timing to invest couldn't be better. Lost in your approach is that you've found a way to connect him to "conservative." Nicely done. Hi Rob. I would normally avoid guys like Steve Stricker and Luke Donald on such a long course. Will their scrambling and putting be enough to overcome the distance disadvantage? Thanks. -- Pete Gamers need to be careful not to lean too much on any one factor, especially distance off the tee. I've been asked many times "what one stat matters" in a given week. There's never just one. Until tournaments are decided by driving distance or proximity to the hole or putting from inside five feet, to name three examples, a combination of factors will always guide us. We must put our trust into Kerry Haigh's setup. He's not going to want to eliminate anyone in the field. A long, soft track can be neutralized with choice of tee boxes and hole locations. (Think the par-5 16th hole at Olympic Club in the final round.) While bombers may have some advantage on par 5s this week, both Stricker and Donald have enough short game, particularly putting, that can lead to a victory. Moreover, no one on the planet scores A's across the board in every aspect of his game. It may happen in a given week (Trevor Immelman, 2008 Masters), but it's rare. And when it does occur, we tip our cap. No mention of Nick Watney anywhere in your rankings or preview. Coming off five consecutive top 25s. Will his game just not translate to Kiawah Island? I only have two starts left for him so I could conserve them for the FedExCup Playoffs if that is what you recommend. Just curious if he was an intentional omission. Thanks. -- Brian More like an unintentional omission. The fact is, there's simply not enough time and space to hit everyone in every field, so guys will always go uncovered. It's one of the reasons I make myself available via email and Twitter. It's also important to spread the analysis around a bit. Others that escaped my features this week include Ernie Els, Adam Scott, Jason Day and David Toms, but it doesn't mean I'm sour on all, or any for that matter depending on others on your short list. As it relates to Watney, I've endorsed in each of his last four starts, and he delivered. No reason to deviate now. The only caveat is that until he closes the door in a final round, you may want to hop off the bandwagon early if you're in a daily league. One dilemma I have this week is between Peter Hanson and Brendon de Jonge. I am hearing that players who play on the European Tour will be more suited to the conditions this week but de Jonge has had better form of late. Any thoughts of which one you would pick would be much appreciated! Cheers. -- Aaron De Jonge is a fantasy monster. He arrived having made the cut in his last 14 starts, three of the last five of which going for top 20s. If you're goal is to play the weekend, it's a closed case. However, Hanson has proven and repeated success in the game's most coveted tournaments. Weigh the risk against your other investments before making a decision. Robert Garrigus. You’re joking right? -- Christopher For the record, Garrigus is No. 12 in my Power Rankings this week. First, I'm not kidding. I don't have a sense of humor. Second, if he converts, you've just written his ad campaign.
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