By Rob Bolton, PGATOUR.COM Fantasy Insider

There are some weeks in which seasoned one-and-doners just plug a guy in and forget about it. This is one of them.

Zach Johnson is the most obvious play for the Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial. He's the defending champion, also won in 2010, sits No. 1 in all-time earnings at the event and has earned more at this tournament than any other in his career.

He has yet to log a top-15 finish this season, but his tie for 19th at THE PLAYERS Championship was his best in a full-field event. (He shared 18th place at the 30-man Hyundai Tournament of Champions to open the season.)

I'd burn him if I didn't already exhaust my one, self-imposed mulligan on a defending champion (Tiger Woods, Bay Hill). So, I'll ride a guy that likely went unlisted in games that require participants to fill in an entire season's worth of starts in January: Henrik Stenson.

He sits atop my Power Rankings and while he's just 2-for-3 at Colonial with no top 25s, he's been populating leaderboards for months. Prior to an early exit at last week's Volvo World Match Play Championship in Bulgaria, he tied for fifth at THE PLAYERS. It was his third top 10 in a five-event span.

Kevin Streelman is No. 2 in the Power Rankings. He's extremely tempting as a one-and-done. I love that he chalked up his breakthrough victory in Tampa as just another step in his career, and I won't talk you out of him. Call it a coin flip, but Stenson leads the PGA TOUR in both driving accuracy and greens in regulation.

David Toms ranks third in all-time earnings in the event. He epitomizes the profile of what it takes to succeed on the classic track, but he has just one top-45 finish in eight stroke-play starts this season.

Jim Furyk is fifth in earnings, but we'll continue to remain patient for a potential start as Colonial ranks 12th on his personal ranking of prize money earned. The others inside the top nine and on site are Rory Sabbatini (sixth), Corey Pavin (seventh), Tim Herron (eighth) and Tim Clark (ninth).

Clark would serve as a sensible option in two-man games unless you're holding off for the Travelers Championship or Wyndham Championship. However, he hasn't banked more money in any other tournament he hasn't won than at Colonial. He's also flashed enough form this season to warrant the spot.

SUMMARY

Last week: Jason Day; T27; $46,565.00

Overall Record: 19-for-21

Earnings: $4,262,889.51

Wins: 1

Top 5s: 5

Top 10s: 10

Top 25s: 14

Missed Cuts: 2

Withdrawals: 0

Disqualifications: 0

Each week, PGATOUR.COM's Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton offers his Power Rankings for the weekly TOUR event as well as his Sleeper picks. But what about the players who don't make the Power Rankings but who can't really be considered Sleepers? Bolton will make one "wild card" selection from the large group of players who fall into that middle range but might rise up to claim the title. This week's pick is ...

RICKIE FOWLER

Owns a progressively improving record at Colonial with a T38 in 2010, a T16 in 2011 and a T5 last year. Didn't crack my Power Rankings because he's failed to post a top 30 in his last four starts dating back to the Masters. Hasn't broken par in five rounds. Currently 44th on TOUR in fairways hit, T62 in strokes gained-putting, 46th in adjusted scoring and 23rd in scrambling.

POWER RANKINGS: To read Bolton's top 15 for Colonial Country Club, click here.

Jason Day and Marc Leishman are good picks for one-and-done challenges this week. (Lecka/Getty Images)

By Rob Bolton, PGATOUR.COM Fantasy Insider

For pretty much all intents and purposes, Jason Day is the play this week. He's 3-for-3 at the HP Byron Nelson Championship with a victory (2010), a solo fifth (2011) and a T9 (2012). His actual scoring average in 12 rounds at TPC Four Seasons is 68.67 with nothing higher than a 72.

Day is also one of just four golfers in this week's field in the top 12 in all-time earnings at the tournament. He ranks fifth. Scott Verplank (first), Vijay Singh (second) and Rory Sabbatini (fourth) are the others, but none resonate in one-and-done formats.

Because of his breakthrough title here three years ago, Day has earned more at this event than any other in his career. With that, I rest my case. He's my pick. Yet, if you're playing from behind and prefer to holster the Aussie for later, pencil in possibilities at the AT&T National and Deutsche Bank Championship.

Meanwhile, Marc Leishman is likely to be a popular play as well this week. With top 10s in his last three starts entering this week and three top 15s in four trips to TPC Four Seasons, his results successfully defend the argument. The 2009 Rookie of the Year has risen to a new level, a rarefied air relative to his career path, so there has never been a better time to piggyback on this Australian. Conservative gamers (i.e. the skeptics) will wonder how long the tidal shift in form will last, but I'd be more concerned if he didn't already make noise at this event.

If you've burned Day and don't want to ride Leishman, the chalk of the week is Jimmy Walker. Consecutive cuts made streaks are chic in mainstream conversation this year, but they've always been a handy reference point for gamers. The San Antonio resident leads the PGA TOUR with 22 straight. This season's set of 13 including four top 10s and another four top 25s. Given his trend, it would require an absolute shutting down of his focus not to continue to pound on the door.

Two-man one-and-dones are advised to give looks to Ryan Palmer and Jordan Spieth.

SUMMARY
Last week: Sergio Garcia; T8; $237,500.00
Overall Record: 18-for-20
Earnings: $4,216,324.51
Wins: 1
Top 5s: 5
Top 10s: 10
Top 25s: 14
Missed Cuts: 2
Withdrawals: 0
Disqualifications: 0

Each week, PGATOUR.COM's Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton offers his Power Rankings for the weekly TOUR event as well as his Sleeper picks. But what about the players who don't make the Power Rankings but who can't really be considered Sleepers? Bolton will make one "wild card" selection from the large group of players who fall into that middle range but might rise up to claim the title. This week's pick is ...

DUSTIN JOHNSON

Injuries to his left wrist and lower back have limited his action the last two weeks. They're also the reason why he didn't crack the Power Rankings. Strung together three straight top 15s through the Masters. He's 4-for-4 at TPC Four Seasons with a T4 in 2009, T7 in 2010 and T20 in 2011. Under par in nine of his last 12 rounds on the course. Currently 53rd on TOUR in greens in regulation, 32nd in strokes gained-putting and 26th in adjusted scoring.

POWER RANKINGS: To read Bolton's top 15 for TPC Four Seasons, click here.

By Rob Bolton, PGATOUR.COM Fantasy Insider

If you've realized that circling contenders for THE PLAYERS Championship is a lost cause, join the club. They exist, but they're hiding in plain sight. This tournament is like huddling together the greatest sluggers in baseball for Home Run Derby, and then moving the fence to 400 feet from pole to pole. The stadium will win, as will the Stadium Course at TPC Sawgrass this week.

THE PLAYERS has been a cornerstone on the schedule in May since the dawning of the FedExCup era in 2007. Connecting similar factors that led to victory for the last six winners of this event is a project without a firm direction.

Sure, each of the last three winners ranked first or second in strokes gained-putting, but the best among the three previous champs placed no better than Henrik Stenson's 19th in 2009. Meanwhile, all of the six winners since 2007 finished inside the top five in par-4 scoring average en route to their victories. After Phil Mickelson ranked T5 in 2007, each of the ensuing victors ranked first, second or T2. So, if the 2013 champion has plans on following in the footsteps of success, he would serve himself well by converting on his opportunities on these 10 holes. (By comparison, only two winners cracked the top 10 in par-3 scoring; three ranked inside the top 20 in par-5 scoring.)

Critics that either don't embrace numbers or choose only to look at scorecards won't find value in the fact that all six champions also finished inside the top four in bogey avoidance the same week. Contrary to a common assumption, it's not often that the gamut of guys in the sample size share that specific supporting factor. This is to say that avoiding bogeys always enhances scoring, of course, but it also underscores the fact that TPC Sawgrass won't surrender enough par-breaker opportunities to offset the high numbers. To that end, boring golf goes a long way at TPC Sawgrass.

Then there's the matter of recent form. On one end of the spectrum sits Phil Mickelson and K.J. Choi. The lefty linked a pair of T3s immediately prior to his title in 2007 while Choi went T6-T8-T3 before his playoff victory in 2011. On the other end are Sergio Garcia and Tim Clark. The Spaniard hadn't recorded a top 10 in his first nine PGA TOUR starts in 2008 prior to outlasting Paul Goydos in a playoff. Clark hadn't logged a top 20 among three cuts made in his most recent five starts before emerging here in 2010.

Indeed, the only surprise will be if this week's champion follows a familiar path.

Sergio Garcia is the all-time leading earner at THE PLAYERS. (Lecka/Getty Images)

By Rob Bolton, PGATOUR.COM Fantasy Insider

The most popular question I field from one-and-doners at the beginning of the year is "When do I play Tiger and Phil?" It's a query that wasn't necessary in the recent past. Woods ranked first in average earnings per event from 2005-2009 and Mickelson sat inside the top five for six consecutive years through 2009. Gamers' margin of error consisted only of forgetting to play either.

Time have changed. Woods went winless in 2010 and 2011 while Mickelson picked off just one victory in each of the last three seasons. From 2010-12, 25 different golfers ranked inside the top 10 in average earnings per event. Five cracked the list exactly twice, including Mickelson (2010, ninth; 2012, 10th). The category leaders of each season made an aggregate of six starts -- Gregory Havret (2010, two), Darren Clarke (2011, three) and David Lynn (2012, one).

Woods populates that sample size just once, checking at third in 2012. His return to form (and No. 1 in the Official World Golf Ranking) has cooled my email server. Still, as the aforementioned question relates to this week's PLAYERS Championship, the answer is "not now."

Despite its richest prize money on the PGA TOUR, THE PLAYERS simply isn't the event where you're going to burn Woods or Mickelson. Gamers' objective for both is to snipe a victory. Woods has 77 career titles and Mickelson 41, but each has come out on top just once at TPC Sawgrass.

Of the 37 golfers that have reached seven figures in career earnings at this event, 21 are in the field this week. Seven of the top eight are scheduled to play, including Mickelson (second) and Woods (fifth). The highest ranked without a victory at TPC Sawgrass is David Toms at 13th. Of course, he came close in 2011, losing in a playoff to K.J. Choi (12th in earnings).

With 19 events in the books, THE PLAYERS concludes the first half of the 40-tournament schedule. You've likely burned a handful of otherwise viable options, but just about anyone who's anyone in the game will tee it up in this wide-open event, so your choices are many.

Jim Furyk sits atop my Power Rankings, but I exhausted him at the Tampa Bay Championship where he tied for seventh. Adam Scott is No. 2 in the feature, but this is his first start since winning the Masters. While I'm obviously confident about his chances this week, I'm still going to give him time to settle into his new stature.

Cutting right to the chase, I'm plugging in Sergio Garcia. He's sixth in my Power Rankings and he's the all-time earnings leader at THE PLAYERS. He's also banked more at this tournament than any other in his career. After admitting a sore back following his second round at Quail Hollow and intimating that he might withdraw, he'd go on to hit only 19 greens in regulation on the weekend, but he, indeed, finished and shared 16th place. Now with a few days off from competition and favorable weather expected on a course where he's enjoyed success -- he hasn't missed a cut in his last nine appearances -- he's as smart a selection as any in a tournament at which no one dominates.

SUMMARY
Last week: Webb Simpson; T32; $37,073.33
Overall record: 17-for-19
Earnings: $3,978,824.51
Wins: 1
Top 5s: 5
Top 10s: 9
Top 25s: 13
Missed cuts: 2
Withdrawals: 0
Disqualifications: 0

Ernie Els hits his approach shot to the par-5 11th during the 2011 THE PLAYERS. (Lecka/Getty Images)

Each week, PGATOUR.COM's Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton offers his Power Rankings for the weekly TOUR event as well as his Sleeper picks. But what about the players who don't make the Power Rankings but who can't really be considered Sleepers? Bolton will make one "wild card" selection from the large group of players who fall into that middle range but might rise up to claim the title. This week's pick is ...

Ernie Els 

Making his 20th appearance at TPC Sawgrass where he's missed his last three cuts, but has survived 14 and posted four top 10s. Fatigue could be an issue since he hasn't rested since sharing 13th place at the Masters. After missing the cut at Harbour Town, he tied for 15th in New Orleans, and then traveled to Asia where he was the runner-up by one stroke at the CIMB Niaga Indonesian Masters on Sunday. Ranks 59th on the PGA TOUR in strokes gained-putting and 41st in adjusted scoring.

Half of the 10 editions of the Wells Fargo Championship have gone to a playoff, so you could run a separate Stats Suggest covering the seven that settled for a tie for second and still walk away with a reasonable opinion of what's worked in regulation. This version of the feature will focus only on the last seven champions, three of whom emerged in sudden death.

Greater Charlotte is a supportive golf community that boasts several PGA TOUR members as residents. Quail Hollow is one of the most popular stops for the touring professionals. Both are contributing factors on some level for why the PGA of America will be hosting the 2017 PGA Championship here, but the course itself has earned it.

Largely known as a layout that caters to ballstrikers that can move it off the tee, the numbers support it to some degree. Of the last seven winners of the Wells Fargo Championship, only Jim Furyk, who defeated Trevor Immelman in a playoff in 2006, didn't rank among the top 25 in distance; Furyk placed 59th. Meanwhile, five cracked the top 25 in fairways hit, including Furyk (third) and Fowler (T2). All but Lucas Glover (T26), who outlasted Jonathan Byrd in a playoff in 2011, finished off their titles inside the top 16 in greens in regulation. Sean O'Hair (2009), Rory McIlroy (2010) and Rickie Fowler (2012) ranked inside the top five in both total driving and greens hit, the two stats that comprise ballstriking.

Five champions cracked the top 10 in strokes gained-putting, but McIlroy is the only from the aforementioned ball-striking trio that populates this list as well. (O'Hair ranked 67th in strokes gained-putting; Fowler was 30th.) None of the winners threatened the top 10 in proximity to the hole, and only Furyk (first) and Anthony Kim (fifth; 2008) sat high in scrambling.

What's interesting, and ultimately somewhat disappointing if you're hoping to learn something unique about the golf course in terms of numbers, six of the seven winners ranked inside the top 10 in both par-4 and par-5 scoring average. This is a trend you'll often see among winners on longer tracks that play to a par of 72. Incidentally, O'Hair is the only winner outside the top 10 in both splits, but just barely at T12 and T11, respectively, and he's the only champion to conclude his week inside the top 10 in par-3 scoring (T10). If these patterns hold again this week, expect a winner with some pop off the tee (for the par 5s) that creates ample birdie opportunities.

One final periodically recurring theme is the youth of recent winners. Kim (22), McIlroy (20) and Fowler (23) claim this tournament as their PGA TOUR breakthrough. Of the seven winners in this week's focus, the average age at the time of their titles is 26.86. Of the golfers in the field, Kevin Chappell (26.82) is nearest that mean. He ranks 21st in total driving, 81st in greens hit, T13 in par-4 scoring average and T91 in par-5 scoring. And while he's just 4-for-11 on the year, he's 81st in FedExCup points and leads the PGA TOUR in final-round scoring average. Chappell is also still chasing his first TOUR victory.

Bill Haas is due for a big week at Quail Holllow. (Ehrmann/Getty Images)

By Rob Bolton, Fantasy Insider

The Wells Fargo Championship is about as cut-and-dried as it gets for one-and-doners. Either you're on board with one of three former winners at Quail Hollow or you're willing to nibble on guys playing well of late with success at this tournament. Yes, that's always the preferred formula, but the lines of demarcation are crystal clear this week.

Rory McIlroy (2010 champion), Lucas Glover (2011) and Rickie Fowler (2012) set up as your best options among the four that have emerged victorious here. They also rank a respective sixth, second and eighth in all-time earnings at Quail Hollow. Sean O'Hair (2009; 11th in earnings) doesn't resonate in one-and-dones right now.

Meanwhile, Webb Simpson, Bill Haas and Sergio Garcia -- Nos. 1, 2 and 8 in my Power Rankings -- each have at least one top five at Quail Hollow (Haas has two), and arrive in fine form. Arguments could be made for others, but none as strong any from this trio could wage.

Before deciding on your choice, there's a not-so-trivial matter of the overall impact of the reported inconsistencies of the greens at Quail Hollow. The skeptics among us may wish to play it safe and holster a top-shelf investment, but I'm of the belief that tournament officials will minimize whatever concerns may exist. The opposition could argue that all 156 golfers are playing the same course, which negates the worry, but all will be putting from different locations on greens of potentially varying reliability. Both are fair positions, but the balance tilts toward a conservative setup to avoid backlash. We also must give the benefit of the doubt to the experts in turf control that have been addressing the issues. Keep the faith.

That dynamic circles back to my selection of the week. Simpson, a devout Christian (and former religion major at Wake Forest University) is a member at Quail Hollow and finished fourth at this event last year after holding the outright lead after 54 holes. He also placed T21 in 2011. The reigning U.S. Open champion took last week off following a playoff loss at the RBC Heritage for what was his third top-six finish in his last seven starts.

Fowler is excluded in some formats since he's the defending champion, and Glover would make an automatic choice as the back half of a two-man one-and-done. It's difficult to bypass McIlroy, but it'll be nice to plug him in deeper into the season. Haas, a religious studies major at Wake Forest and born in Charlotte, has endured some struggles in closing out tournaments this season, but he still has five top 10 and this is a comfort zone kind of week. I fully endorse him if you've burned others on the short list.

As for Garcia, Quail Hollow is merely one of about a dozen possible sites to use him. The next opportunity will occur at next week's THE PLAYERS.

SUMMARY

Last week: Justin Rose; T15; $102,300.00
Overall Record: 16-for-18
Earnings: $3,941,751.18
Wins: 1
Top 5s: 5
Top 10s: 9
Top 25s: 13
Missed Cuts: 2
Withdrawals: 0
Disqualifications: 0

Poulter is playing at Quail Hollow for the first time since 2009. (Redington/Getty Images)

Each week, PGATOUR.COM's Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton offers his Power Rankings for the weekly TOUR event as well as his Sleeper picks. But what about the players who don't make the Power Rankings but who can't really be considered Sleepers? Bolton will make one "wild card" selection from the large group of players who fall into that middle range but might rise up to claim the title. This week's pick is ...

IAN POULTER

Making his first appearance at Quail Hollow since a joint fifth-place finish in 2009. After opening this season with a pair of top 10s, he's gone four straight starts without a top 20, but ranks 14th on TOUR in strokes gained-putting and 20th in scrambling.