October 24 2012

6:25 PM

Fantasy mailbag: CIMB Classic

By Rob Bolton, PGATOUR.COM Fantasy Columnist No matter the event, if I'm writing a Power Rankings feature and Tiger Woods is in the field, my email inbox will get a workout. For this week's CIMB Classic, I slotted Woods third behind Bo Van Pelt and Jason Dufner, respectively. It didn't take long for this to arrive: Hey Rob! U have it all wrong as who is no. 1... No doubt Tiger isn't the dominant force that he once was, but tell me even though he didn't win a major this year, how many golfers this year won 3 tournaments??? I rest my case.... Keith Instead of reiterating points and facts cited in the feature, which you can find here, let's look at how these three fared head-to-head in 2012. The results support Keith's argument, but not quite how he laid it out. Van Pelt, Dufner and Woods competed in the same PGA TOUR event 11 times this year. Dufner won twice, but neither of the other two were in those fields. Van Pelt was winless. As Keith noted, Woods is a three-time champ, but only one of the other two teed it up alongside in each -- Dufner (T15, Arnold Palmer Invitational); Van Pelt (T13, Memorial; 2nd, AT&T National) -- so Woods' collective record in those three wins is simply 3-0-0. Through Woods' last triumph at the AT&T National, he held a record of 7-6-1 to Van Pelt's 6-5-2 and Dufner's 4-6-1. Then, after missing the cut at The Greenbrier Classic that both Van Pelt and Dufner skipped, Woods finished 10-2-1 to Van Pelt's 4-8-1 and Dufner's 4-8-0. Overall, Woods went 17-8-2, Van Pelt 10-13-3 and Dufner 8-14-1 in the events in which Woods played and at least one of the other two also participated. Woods won six of the 11 head-to-heads, including five of the last six; Van Pelt took three and Dufner the other two. There is a contingent of readers that expects Woods to sit atop the Power Rankings just because he's Tiger Woods. Keith formed a fair argument, so I wouldn't rush to include him in that group of Woods-or-bust supporters, but Van Pelt and Dufner -- not to mention 45 other golfers in the field in Malaysia this week -- also showed up to win a golf tournament. Certainly, the scoreboard favors Woods, but sitting No. 3 in the Power Rankings isn't a slight.

October 17 2012

9:52 PM

Fantasy Mailbag: McGladrey

By Rob Bolton, Fantasy Insider

With his one-stroke triumph at the Frys.com Open, Jonas Blixt became the third rookie to win in 2012, following John Huh (Mayakoba Golf Classic) and Ted Potter, Jr. (The Greenbrier Classic). Naturally, with the penultimate tournament of the season contested this week, the discussion for Rookie of the Year is reaching a climax.

Since joining PGATOUR.COM in 2010, I've written a weekly subjective rookie ranking . In the beginning, I stuck by a proven points system that I use in my rotisserie league. Here it is: Win = 15 points; 2nd-5th = 8 points; 6th-10th = 5 points; 11th-25th = 3 points; 26th or worse = 1 points and Missed cut/Withdrawal/Disqualification = 0 points

Using that system in 2010, Rickie Fowler scored 69 points to Rory McIlroy's 50. Even though McIlroy was the only of the two to win an event, Fowler was voted Rookie of the Year thanks to seven top-10s among 20 cuts made in 28 starts. McIlroy went 12-for-16 with five top-10s. Derek Lamely was the only other rookie to win a tournament in 2010, but he ranked seventh under my system with 31 points.

The bumper crop of rookies in 2011 yielded seven victories by six golfers. The only two-time champ, Keegan Bradley, not only ran away with Rookie of the Year, he made a strong case for Player of the Year, ultimately falling to Luke Donald for that award. Using the points system above, Bradley tallied 70. Masters champ Charl Schwartzel shared second place with non-winner Kyle Stanley with 51 points.

The race for Rookie of the Year in 2012 is tighter than the previous two, but Huh has held court just about all season. He was the first to record a top 10 when he tied for sixth at the Farmers Insurance Open. Three starts later, he outlasted veteran Robert Allenby in an eight-hole playoff for the win in Mexico. Thanks in part to another two top-fives, Huh has 70 points using my system. H was the only rookie to advance to the TOUR Championship by Coca-Cola, too.

Blixt has 55 points thanks to his win, two more top-fives and five total top-10s. But he sits fourth using my points system after a 10-week absence for a rib injury. He's been low rookie five times to Huh’s nine.

Now, if you still think that the Huh-Blixt race is too close to call, consider what happened in 2009. None of the 28 rookies won a tournament, but Marc Leishman was the only rookie to compete in the TOUR Championship. He got hot at the right time, posting five low-rookie performances in a six-event stretch, and was eventually crowned Rookie of the Year. However, he finished second to Jeff Klauk by two points in my system. Like Blixt this year, Klauk was bumped from the FedExCup Playoffs after two rounds.

So, while membership decides who will walk away as the 2012 Rookie of the Year, in my opinion Blixt probably needs another victory to clinch it. In fact, if he goes back-to-back and wins The McGladrey Classic, he'd tie the idle Huh at 70 points even with a second title.

I will continue to share my one-and-done and duffer picks in this space through the Fall Series. Here are my picks for The McGladrey Classic:

ONE-AND-DONE: Jeff Overton ... 2012 earnings: $7,714,440.50

DUFFER: Carl Paulson ... 2012 earnings: $612,595.50

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October 10 2012

6:59 PM

Fantasy mailbag: Frys.com Open

All the rage this week -- or at least the majority of it -- is fueled by Nicolas Colsaerts' appearance at the Frys.com Open. After accepting Special Temporary Membership, he's in the field at CordeValle Golf Club on a sponsor exemption. His goal is to earn a 2013 PGA TOUR card via the top 125 in non-member earnings. To date, he's banked $652,886, which would currently place him 120th. Despite a rock-solid year worldwide and victorious Ryder Cup experience, he didn't crack my original Power Rankings. Any particular reason why Nicolas Colsaerts doesn't make your list this week? Regards, Colin I guess you didn't think Colsaerts would be competitive this week. -- Buck I added the Belgian to the feature after Tim Clark withdrew, which occurred after Colin and Buck emailed. Colsaerts was one of my last cuts for a number of reasons, but it doesn't mean that you should fade him.
  • He's a first-timer at CordeValle. So be it; he's not alone.
  • There's a learning curve for most internationals as it relates to competing in non-majors and non-World Golf Championships in the United States. However, in two starts in events that don't fit that criteria, he tied for 25th at the Memorial Tournament presented by Nationwide Insurance and shared seventh place at the Wyndham Championship. Not too shabby.
  • With those two factual arguments aside, there are two more relevant dynamics in play.
  • Colsaerts leads the European Tour in distance off the tee, but CordeValle is not a bomber's paradise. And he's very average with his putter, although we can't ignore how he lit up Medinah for an eagle and eight birdies in a four-ball victory on the first day. He'd go on to lose his next three matches, so perhaps the term "inconsistent" is more appropriate, and that doesn't take into account any assumptions about how the emotions of that event played a role in his execution.
  • Arguably most important is that he knows he needs to get the job done this week as there is no guarantee that he'll make another start in the Fall Series. If we could eliminate the first two concerns above, then I'm more confident in my endorsement.
  • Meanwhile, I will continue to share my one-and-done and duffer picks in this space through the Fall Series. Here are my picks for the Frys.com Open: ONE-AND-DONE: Jonas Blixt ... 2012 earnings: $6,814,440.50 DUFFER: Hank Kuehne ... 2012 earnings: $612,595.50

October 3 2012

6:44 PM

Fantasy mailbag: JT Shriners

A few months ago, I was a guest on an Internet radio program to chat golf (what else?). It was the only time the host and I had ever spoken, but we had been in touch via email many times prior to discuss his fantasy team. During the introduction, he said that he feels like he knows me personally since he reads my content every week. It's arguably the greatest compliment one could pay, but another loyal reader one-upped him this morning, thanks to a nod at some success.

Hey, Rob. It’s funny, I’ve obviously never met you, but I feel like we are good friends. Great job again this year. I play in a fantasy golf league on Yahoo! and won! A lot of credit goes to you; never missed an article. Great information and insight! Already looking forward to next year. Thanks for all the help! Yours truly, Kris.

For those of you that have never reached out directly for assistance, you might not know that I respond to every email. Fantasy golf is enough of a vertical market, but the numerous formats across its landscape demand personal attention. Kris has emailed occasionally, which partially explains the bond.

As I've stated throughout my tenure, engaging with you is a valuable tool for me to establish both short- and long-term perspectives. You are the street, and fantasy value is relative.

For those of you still elbowing for a league championship, take a minute to review the Top 25 in career earnings in the Fall Series. For year-by-year evaluations, click here. Of course, you can always reach me via email or Twitter if you want help.

I will continue to share my one-and-done and duffer picks in this space through the Fall Series. Here are my picks for the Justin Timberlake Shriners Hospitals for Children Open:

ONE-AND-DONE: Robert Garrigus ... 2012 earnings: $6,774,953.00
DUFFER: Bart Bryant ... 2012 earnings: $612,595.50


September 26 2012

6:00 PM

Fantasy mailbag: Ryder Cup

By Rob Bolton, PGATOUR.COM Fantasy Columnist A couple of online games concluded with last week's TOUR Championship by Coca-Cola. Thanks to a giant assist by champion Brandt Snedeker, I placed 195th in the Summer Segment in the Yahoo! game with 2,374 points. Gunga Galunga (2,529 points) hung on to win the segment by 36 points over Scott Schaffran. For the season, I finished 3,861st with 5,658 points (97th percentile). Not too shabby considering my slow start. YODA MAN tallied 6,098 points for the top spot in the full-season race, 20 clear of Nevada Bighorns. YODA MAN averaged 164.81 points per tournament. In the finale at PGA TOUR Matchups on Facebook, I went 3-1-1 to post an overall record of 88-68-4 for 188 points. In what was a heartbreaking fade, last week's co-leader and long-time pacesetter, Austin Frank, settled for a 0-4-1 slate at East Lake to finish four points adrift of fellow co-leader, Michael Flanagan (2-2-1), and Dennis59 (4-0-1), both of whom racked up 212 points. Over the last three tournaments, Dennis59 went 13-1-1 to Flanagan's 11-3-1 and Frank 8-6-1. Of the trio, only Frank failed to chalk up one bonus during that stretch. I will continue to share my one-and-done and duffer picks in this space through the Fall Series. Here are my earnings for each through the FedExCup Playoffs: ONE-AND-DONE: $6,774,953.00 DUFFER: $612,595.50 Meanwhile, it didn't take long after my Power Rankings for the Ryder Cup published on Tuesday for readers to express consternation over Steve Stricker's spot at No. 22. Here's his capsule: It's surreal that he needed a Captain's Pick, but it speaks to U.S. depth. His calling card was a 4-0-0 record with Tiger Woods at the 2009 Presidents Cup. Stricker's only other relevant experience was a 1-1-0 with Matt Kuchar at the 2011 Presidents Cup. Now, the gripes: What about relevant experience beating Lee Westwood in singles at Wales? I agree Stricker isn't playing great, but to say his only other relevant experience is inaccurate. -- Tim So I am guessing that Steve taking down the world's No. 1 at the time, Lee Westwood, in the last Ryder Cup on enemy turf does not count as RELEVANT EXPERIENCE…REALLY. OK, we’ll see if Steve really is the last-ranked American when all is said and done. I think not but thanks for your comments. -- Bob Really dis'd Stricker. I am guessing your [sic] wrong on this. -- @meritw1 on Twitter No doubt about it. Stricker's 2-and-1 victory over Westwood to open singles at Celtic Manor helped set the tone for what would be a 6-4-2 record on the day for the Americans. The Americans' loss in the competition overall didn't influence my opinion, however. The Power Rankings was crafted to have some fun digging into the potential pairings, not singles. Foursomes and four-ball account for two of the first three days, four of the first five sessions, and 16 of the first 28 matches. It's also possible for a golfer to total four wins before singles. The only time I referenced singles was in Dustin Johnson's capsule, since his only victory in 2010 was in that format.

September 5 2012

10:51 PM

Fantasy mailbag: BMW

By Rob Bolton, PGATOUR.COM Fantasy Columnist A week ago, I devoted this entire space as an endorsement to plug Rory McIlroy in for the Deutsche Bank Championship. As I state all the time, it's always a bonus when golfers fulfill their projections, but failing to take a ride on the bandwagon can prove costly. Here are tales from both sides of last week's decision on whether to invest. I’m in fifth place in my fantasy league of 40 players. I’m roughly $1.3 million out of first. I’m the only one who still has McIlroy in the bag (yep, could have, would have, should have -- PGA/Deutsche Bank). Given the field sizes and payouts of the last two tourneys, where would you use him -- BMW Championship or the TOUR Championship by Coca-Cola? During the FedExCup Playoffs, we can pick two players for each tourney. I have Sergio Garcia, Webb Simpson and Nick Watney to round out my final four picks of the season (with McIlroy). My original plan is Simpson/Garcia (BMW) and McIlroy/Watney (finale). -- Scott It's funny how the dynamics shift our preparation. McIlroy's cachet aside, before the Playoffs, I would have circled Crooked Stick as the only track on the short list. The logic was simple, too. He had just romped at Kiawah Island, another Pete Dye creation, and the host course for the BMW is a mystery to the majority of the field. This is to say that the playing field is level. McIlroy is still learning the courses, but he's not at a disadvantage. Then, after further inspection last week, he shoved his way into the focal point of investments, thus earning my attention, and therefore yours. Now, he'll be gunning for consecutive victories. It's a rare achievement because it's hard to do and the law of averages tilts heavily toward the field. Given these factors, I agree that you wait until East Lake to burn him. I have no reason to argue the positioning of the other three on your agenda. In my one-and-done league, I was the only one with Rory McIlroy last week. Moved me from 10th to fourth place. My league goes to the very end of the season but I want to finish the Playoffs strong. My top-ranked players left are: Nick Watney, Sergio Garcia, Ernie Els, Bo Van Pelt, John Senden, John Huh. Any one of these guys jump out at you as a good fit for Crooked Stick? -- Sean One of the most challenging -- if not impossible -- aspects of what I do is attempting to translate how I perceive a situation involving competitive spirit into quantifiable data. For example, as an observer of the sport for the entirety of Jim Furyk's career, I refused to consider that he wasn't going to play his way onto the Ryder Cup team. Whether his T13 at TPC Boston played a role in that fact is irrelevant, but that he got the job done fulfilled the expectation, and you can't measure heart, grit and all of the other intangibles a veteran like him possesses. Transcending a similar vibe, while Watney didn't crack the Ryder Cup squad, his work is far from over. After winning The Barclays, he tied for 20th at the Deutsche Bank Championship and sits second in FedExCup points entering the BMW. I'd like to believe that he'll shake off any disappointment from not qualifying for the biennial team competition at Medinah Country Club and dump all of his focus on winning the FedExCup. Not only is Watney playing well and owns the kind of game seemingly necessary for success at Crooked Stick, but history is on his side as well. Since the current version of the FedExCup was introduced in 2009, the top three in points entering the BMW Championship have entered the finale inside the top five. If any in the top five at the TOUR Championship by Coca-Cola win that event, he will be declared the FedExCup champion. Watney controls his own fate. He's also my one-and-done pick this week.

August 29 2012

9:41 PM

Fantasy mailbag: Deutsche Bank

By Rob Bolton, PGATOUR.COM Fantasy Columnist If you are a golf course history buff, and Rory McIlroy is burning a hole in your pocket, plug him in this week. Next case. Oh, if it were only that easy. Actually, it just might be. My question is this: I have only one more start for Rory and just wondered which event you thought he may be best suited for. Thanks again. -- Jeff Of the quartet of host courses for the 2012 FedExCup Playoffs, TPC Boston is the only track on which McIlroy has competed before in the postseason. (He tied for 10th at Bethpage State Park's Black Course in the 2009 U.S. Open, and in considerably worse conditions than last week.) In his first look at TPC Boston as a PGA TOUR rookie in 2010, he shot 64 in the opening round to sit one off the lead after 18 holes. He'd go on to finish T37. Shortly thereafter, he found a new and higher gear. Since, in the 47 tournaments worldwide that contribute to the Official World Golf Ranking [OWGR], he's won four times, including two majors. Seventeen others went for top fives, and another seven were top 10s. That's 28 top 10s in 47 starts for a clip of an incredible 59.57 percent. (If inclined, throw out his solo fourth at the 2010 Chevron World Challenge since only 18 competed, but I also omitted his victory at the 2011 Shanghai Masters in which 30 of the world's elite teed it up.) He doesn't turn 23 and a half years of age until November 4, and in two years of parity on the PGA TOUR, he's risen to No. 1 in the OWGR. Now, while he's proven to be one of the most reliable investments just about anywhere, he's still on the upward climb of the bell curve in terms of breaking through for a victory in the Playoffs. The average number of postseason starts for the 11 winners since the 2010 Barclays is 10.625. (Dustin Johnson is the only multiple champion during this span. The number of starts prior to his first win at the 2010 BMW Championship -- seven -- was included in the sample size.) The fewest starts among the champions was Webb Simpson's six prior to last year's Deutsche Bank Championship. Nick Watney had made 17 appearances in the Playoffs -- most among the set -- until ending his drought at last week's Barclays. There's something to be said for experience in the postseason. Camilo Villegas remains the only golfer to record his first PGA TOUR victory in the Playoffs (2008 BMW). And even though the FedExCup was just 2 years old at the time, his triumph occurred in his seventh career appearance. McIlroy is making just his fifth postseason start this week. However, if there's anyone in the field capable of shattering the recent mold, he's the guy. Plug and play!

August 22 2012

9:59 PM

Fantasy mailbag: The Barclays

By Rob Bolton, PGATOUR.COM Fantasy Columnist A few more angles for gamers before the FedExCup Playoffs tees off on Thursday ... Hey Rob. First week of the Playoffs, I snuck in as the five seed. I have four of my five slots set (Webb Simpson, Jim Furyk, Vijay Singh, Ian Poulter), but need help with the fifth. I have to choose between Kevin Na, who would usually be a must-start but for his shoulder; Harris English, who may or may not have found his game again at the Wyndham; and Greg Owen, who has struggled a bit lately but was great in July. -- Ross If you’re eyeing Na, English or Owen for The Barclays only, it’s English all the way. He’s a nice fit for Bethpage State Park Black Course, and all rookies take their lumps. Owen’s ball-striking might shine but the 40-year-old Englishman doesn’t possess the same kind of firepower as English. You are right to avoid Na for the very reason you stated. Should I dump Jason Day? I am hanging on to first place by less than $300,000. Watney has been a disappointment all year for his value. I have two moves and thinking of moving Day and Watney out for Bubba Watson and Jason Dufner. What are your thoughts? I am the only one in top five of the league with Hunter Mahan and Matt Kuchar. -- Todd Depending on when you can pull your triggers, dump Day for Watson now, and then reserve your second move for when Dufner returns next week. Hey Rob, in the home stretch. I have Bubba Watson and Justin Rose locked in this week. Need two more from the following: Nick Watney, Robert Garrigus, Charl Schwartzel, John Huh and Ernie Els. They are all playing steady right now, so I suppose it's anyone's guess. Any opinions? -- Erik First, Garrigus is an automatic. For more on why, please look for expanded insight in "Horses for Courses" in my fantasy preview. Next, I'll dismiss both Schwartzel (based on form) and Huh (based on inexperience, although that's an admittedly weak stance given how he's shattered rookie stereotypes this year). Els has faded since his victory at the British Open, but I like for him to make a nice run at East Lake. That leaves Watney, who might have a bit of a chip on his shoulder having posted just two top 10s in 20 stroke-play starts this year. He's missed only three cuts, so he's a safer investment on a short list, and his overall game blends well with Bethpage Black. Rob, I have the following four left for my one-and-done: Keegan Bradley, Bubba Watson, Dustin Johnson, and Phil Mickelson. I also have Ernie Els, but probably will not use him unless he gets hot. I am thinking Phil for the TOUR Championship by Coca-Cola. How would you use the other three over the next three events, especially this week? In order, how would you rank those three guys this week in a one-and-done knowing you will be using the other two in the next two or three tournaments? -- Craig First, I completely agree with your usage for Mickelson. I'm doing the same, and remain hopeful that he'll turn his game around in the first three events. As far as The Barclays, Johnson is my pick. (I would have burned Rory McIlroy if he were available.) While DJ is the defending champion, Bethpage is this year's host course, not Plainfield, so I don't feel like I'm cheating. Bradley would be my second choice this week, but he could be my first pick at TPC Boston. Watson makes the most sense this week, but he could be a good fit for Crooked Stick in two weeks as well. Frankly, you could shuffle this trio any way you want and enter every event with a high level of confidence.
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August 15 2012

11:19 PM

Fantasy Mailbag: Wyndham

By Rob Bolton, PGATOUR.COM Fantasy Columnist The moral of this week is to treat it like any other. The more you introduce new thoughts related to the Wyndham Championship serving as the finale to the Regular Season and other similar angles as it relates to the 11th hour in a fantasy game, you press. Meanwhile, below are a couple of submissions into a light Mailbag. Hey Rob. I noticed Nicolas Colsaerts wasn’t mentioned in your fantasy preview, yet he’s suspiciously in the field for the Wyndham. Not sure why as I don’t think he has his TOUR card. Is he on your radar this week, or is his recent poor play scare you away? If you had to choose: Blake Adams or Colsaerts? -- Lorne Colsaerts was granted a foreign exemption into the Wyndham. The European Tour -- his home circuit -- is dark in advance of next week's Johnny Walker Championship at Gleneagles. The Belgian is knocking on the door for a Ryder Cup berth, so he could earn valuable Official World Golf Ranking points at Sedgefield. However, I have, indeed, been disappointed in his performance in the U.S. He closed out the British Open with a 65 but his only other top 25 in seven PGA TOUR starts this year is a T25 at the Memorial. I can't help but admire the kind of schedule Adams maintains given his beaten-up body. Yet, he's posted a career-high seven top 25s, including a pair of top 10s. And he's coming off a T7 at Kiawah Island, his best finish of the year. The third-year TOUR member also offers splits that match up well with Sedgefield. He's the safer -- and smarter -- investment this week. I like your Power Rankings this week. I already had most of them on my Yahoo! team, but I have a few alternate thoughts and would appreciate a look at them: Sergio Garcia (Group A); John Rollins (Group B) and Daniel Summerhays (Group C). -- Jim I'm fading Garcia this week. You can read more on why in my fantasy preview. This field is really deep with rank-and-filers, so I’m not sure Rollins stands out. Moreover, he continues to be all or nothing. The best advice I could provide would be relative; that is, it depends who else is on the same short. I really like Summerhays. He’s quickly rising on the list of best young non-winners on the PGA TOUR. He's logged four top 10s this year, and on a variety of ballparks. I’d endorse him in the right situation this week. For example, I’d rank him above both Garcia and Rollins outside of Yahoo!, but there's no chance anyone cracks the top two of Carl Pettersson and Jason Dufner in Group C.

August 8 2012

12:05 AM

Fantasy mailbag: PGA Championship

By Rob Bolton, PGATOUR.COM Fantasy Columnist "Glory's Last Shot" doesn't refer only to the PGA Championship. Fantasy leagues are decided this week as well. I am in our last week of the fantasy golf league and I'm in the lead by two points. We get points for top 20s and ties with majors as double points. Here is my lineup: Bill Haas, Rory McIlroy, Justin Rose, Jason Dufner. My question is who is my fifth player? I have the following available: Peter Hanson, Ryan Palmer, Sang-moon Bae (not really an option based on the other two). Thanks for your help. -- Wilson Palmer jumped off the page in an instant, so I'll circle him. For more insight, see "On a Roll" in my fantasy preview. While explosive, Hanson has been a bit inconsistent of late, and that matters when you need to get picky. Meanwhile, Bae has not fared well ever since he sustained a sore right shoulder in April. The PGA Championship is our last tournament left in our league and I have a moderate lead in first place. Left on my roster are Bubba Watson and Louis Oosthuizen (the two I like). I have a slight leaning toward Watson. I'm also considering Oosthuizen due to the fact he's the hot hand. So, just wanted get your thoughts on either since I just need a somewhat conservative approach. Thanks. -- Keith Can't go wrong with either. In your position, however, Watson is, indeed, the safer play. Not only has he flown at a consistently high level for most of the year, but with the adoption process for his son now complete and his focus centered on golf, the timing to invest couldn't be better. Lost in your approach is that you've found a way to connect him to "conservative." Nicely done. Hi Rob. I would normally avoid guys like Steve Stricker and Luke Donald on such a long course. Will their scrambling and putting be enough to overcome the distance disadvantage? Thanks. -- Pete Gamers need to be careful not to lean too much on any one factor, especially distance off the tee. I've been asked many times "what one stat matters" in a given week. There's never just one. Until tournaments are decided by driving distance or proximity to the hole or putting from inside five feet, to name three examples, a combination of factors will always guide us. We must put our trust into Kerry Haigh's setup. He's not going to want to eliminate anyone in the field. A long, soft track can be neutralized with choice of tee boxes and hole locations. (Think the par-5 16th hole at Olympic Club in the final round.) While bombers may have some advantage on par 5s this week, both Stricker and Donald have enough short game, particularly putting, that can lead to a victory. Moreover, no one on the planet scores A's across the board in every aspect of his game. It may happen in a given week (Trevor Immelman, 2008 Masters), but it's rare. And when it does occur, we tip our cap. No mention of Nick Watney anywhere in your rankings or preview. Coming off five consecutive top 25s. Will his game just not translate to Kiawah Island? I only have two starts left for him so I could conserve them for the FedExCup Playoffs if that is what you recommend. Just curious if he was an intentional omission. Thanks. -- Brian More like an unintentional omission. The fact is, there's simply not enough time and space to hit everyone in every field, so guys will always go uncovered. It's one of the reasons I make myself available via email and Twitter. It's also important to spread the analysis around a bit. Others that escaped my features this week include Ernie Els, Adam Scott, Jason Day and David Toms, but it doesn't mean I'm sour on all, or any for that matter depending on others on your short list. As it relates to Watney, I've endorsed in each of his last four starts, and he delivered. No reason to deviate now. The only caveat is that until he closes the door in a final round, you may want to hop off the bandwagon early if you're in a daily league. One dilemma I have this week is between Peter Hanson and Brendon de Jonge. I am hearing that players who play on the European Tour will be more suited to the conditions this week but de Jonge has had better form of late. Any thoughts of which one you would pick would be much appreciated! Cheers. -- Aaron De Jonge is a fantasy monster. He arrived having made the cut in his last 14 starts, three of the last five of which going for top 20s. If you're goal is to play the weekend, it's a closed case. However, Hanson has proven and repeated success in the game's most coveted tournaments. Weigh the risk against your other investments before making a decision. Robert Garrigus. You’re joking right? -- Christopher For the record, Garrigus is No. 12 in my Power Rankings this week. First, I'm not kidding. I don't have a sense of humor. Second, if he converts, you've just written his ad campaign.
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