May. 2, 2011
Here is the chart you can use to determine the average expected success rate of any putt within 100 feet of the pin on the PGA TOUR. These numbers, which are based off the 2010 season, are used as the baseline probability to calculate the TOUR's new statistic, Strokes Gained - Putting, that determines the best putters on TOUR.
When looking at the numbers, think of it like this: If the average TOUR pro went to a practice green and dropped 10 balls exactly 7 feet, 10 inches from the pin, five of those balls would find the bottom of the cup. But if he stepped back to 16 feet, then he would likely make two of those 10 attempts.
If you're watching a tournament on TV or attending one in person, you can refer to this chart to determine the odds that a pro has in making a putt from a certain distance.
STROKES GAINED-PUTTING: New TOUR stat | Why this is different | 2011 leaders | Q&A | Inside the Numbers
| Strokes Gained - Putting |
| 2010 Baseline Probabilities |
| 1 foot |
100% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
1.001 |
| 2 feet |
99% |
0.6% |
0.1% |
1.009 |
| 3 feet |
95% |
5% |
0.2% |
1.053 |
| 4 feet |
86% |
14% |
0.2% |
1.147 |
| 5 feet |
75% |
25% |
0.3% |
1.256 |
| 6 feet |
65% |
35% |
0.3% |
1.357 |
| 7 feet |
56% |
44% |
0.4% |
1.443 |
| 7 feet, 10 inches |
50% |
49% |
0.5% |
1.50 |
| 8 feet |
49% |
51% |
0.5% |
1.515 |
| 9 feet |
43% |
56% |
0.6% |
1.575 |
| 10 feet |
38% |
61% |
0.7% |
1.626 |
| 11 feet |
34% |
65% |
0.8% |
1.669 |
| 12 feet |
30% |
69% |
0.9% |
1.705 |
| 13 feet |
27% |
72% |
1% |
1.737 |
| 14 feet |
25% |
74% |
1% |
1.765 |
| 15 feet |
22% |
77% |
!% |
1.790 |
| 16 feet |
20% |
78% |
1% |
1.811 |
| 17 feet |
19% |
80% |
2% |
1.830 |
| 18 feet |
17% |
81% |
2% |
1.848 |
| 19 feet |
16% |
83% |
2% |
1.863 |
| 20 feet |
14% |
84% |
2% |
1.878 |
| 21 feet |
13% |
85% |
2% |
1.891 |
| 22 feet |
12% |
85% |
3% |
1.903 |
| 23 feet |
11% |
86% |
3% |
1.914 |
| 24 feet |
11% |
86% |
3% |
1.924 |
| 25 feet |
10% |
87% |
3% |
1.934 |
| 26 feet |
9% |
87% |
4% |
1.944 |
| 27 feet |
9% |
88% |
4% |
1.953 |
| 28 feet |
8% |
88% |
4% |
1.961 |
| 29 feet |
8% |
88% |
5% |
1.970 |
| 30 feet |
7% |
88% |
5% |
1.978 |
| 31 feet |
7% |
88% |
5% |
1.993 |
| 32 feet |
6% |
88% |
6% |
1.993 |
| 33 feet |
6% |
88% |
6% |
2.001 |
| 34 feet |
6% |
88% |
7% |
2.009 |
| 35 feet |
5% |
88% |
7% |
2.016 |
| 36 feet |
5% |
87% |
8% |
2.024 |
| 37 feet |
5% |
87% |
8% |
2.032 |
| 38 feet |
5% |
87% |
9% |
2.039 |
| 39 feet |
4% |
87% |
9% |
2.047 |
| 40 feet |
4% |
86% |
10% |
2.055 |
| 41 feet |
4% |
86% |
10% |
2.062 |
| 42 feet |
4% |
85% |
11% |
2.070 |
| 43 feet |
4% |
85% |
12% |
2.078 |
| 44 feet |
4% |
84% |
12% |
2.086 |
| 45 feet |
3% |
84% |
13% |
2.094 |
| 46 feet |
3% |
83% |
14% |
2.102 |
| 47 feet |
3% |
83% |
14% |
2.110 |
| 48 feet |
3% |
82% |
15% |
2.118 |
| 49 feet |
3% |
82% |
16% |
2.127 |
| 50 feet |
3% |
81% |
16% |
2.135 |
| 51 feet |
3% |
80% |
17% |
2.143 |
| 52 feet |
3% |
80% |
18% |
2.152 |
| 53 feet |
3% |
79% |
19% |
2.160 |
| 54 feet |
2% |
78% |
19% |
2.168 |
| 55 feet |
2% |
78% |
20% |
2.177 |
| 56 feet |
2% |
77% |
21% |
2.185 |
| 57 feet |
2% |
76% |
22% |
2.193 |
| 58 feet |
2% |
76% |
22% |
2.202 |
| 59 feet |
2% |
75% |
23% |
2.210 |
| 60 feet |
2% |
74% |
24% |
2.218 |
| 61 feet |
2% |
74% |
25% |
2.226 |
| 62 feet |
2% |
73% |
25% |
2.234 |
| 63 feet |
2% |
72% |
26% |
2.242 |
| 64 feet |
2% |
72% |
27% |
2.250 |
| 65 feet |
2% |
71% |
27% |
2.257 |
| 66 feet |
2% |
70% |
28% |
2.265 |
| 67 feet |
2% |
70% |
29% |
2.272 |
| 68 feet |
2% |
69% |
30% |
2.279 |
| 69 feet |
2% |
68% |
30% |
2.286 |
| 70 feet |
2% |
68% |
31% |
2.293 |
| 71 feet |
1% |
67% |
31% |
2.299 |
| 72 feet |
1% |
67% |
32% |
2.306 |
| 73 feet |
1% |
66% |
33% |
2.312 |
| 74 feet |
1% |
66% |
33% |
2.318 |
| 75 feet |
1% |
65% |
34% |
2.324 |
| 76 feet |
1% |
65% |
34% |
2.329 |
| 77 feet |
1% |
64% |
35% |
2.334 |
| 78 feet |
1% |
64% |
35% |
2.339 |
| 79 feet |
1% |
63% |
36% |
2.344 |
| 80 feet |
1% |
63% |
36% |
2.349 |
| 81 feet |
1% |
63% |
36% |
2.353 |
| 82 feet |
1% |
62% |
37% |
2.357 |
| 83 feet |
1% |
63% |
37% |
2.361 |
| 84 feet |
1% |
63% |
37% |
2.364 |
| 85 feet |
1% |
61% |
38% |
2.367 |
| 86 feet |
1% |
61% |
38% |
2.370 |
| 87 feet |
1% |
61% |
38% |
2.373 |
| 88 feet |
1% |
60% |
39% |
2.375 |
| 89 feet |
1% |
60% |
39% |
2.377 |
| 90 feet |
1% |
60% |
39% |
2.379 |
| 91 feet |
1% |
60% |
39% |
2.381 |
| 92 feet |
1% |
60% |
39% |
2.382 |
| 93 feet |
1% |
60% |
39% |
2.383 |
| 94 feet |
1% |
60% |
39% |
2.384 |
| 95 feet |
1% |
60% |
39% |
2.384 |
| 96 feet |
1% |
60% |
39% |
2.384 |
| 97 feet |
1% |
60% |
39% |
2.384 |
| 98 feet |
1% |
60% |
39% |
2.383 |
| 99 feet |
1% |
60% |
39% |
2.383 |
| 100 feet |
1% |
60% |
39% |
2.382 |
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