Fantasy Insider: BMW ChampionshipSeptember 10, 2013
By Rob Bolton, PGATOUR.COM Fantasy Columnist
This is the last Fantasy Insider of the 2013 season since my Power Rankings for next week's TOUR Championship by Coca-Cola will feature all 30 in the field. As always, email or tweet me if you want to discuss strategy and lineup decisions.
Taking a peek ahead, you can count on my annual full-membership fantasy projections in early October as well as the usual array of complementary features to help with your draft. The PGATOUR.COM fantasy game for 2013-14 will begin with the Frys.com Open. Stay tuned for a new announcement for gamers, too.
Look for my four choices for the BMW Championship in PGATOUR.com's fantasy game in Expert Picks. My one-and-done selection, analysis and season totals will appear in The TOUR Report on Wednesday.
On a Roll
Gary Woodland (14th in FedExCup points) ... He belongs here with a win in Reno and a T2 at The Barclays. Placed T41 at TPC Boston but ranked fourth in proximity to the hole.
Dustin Johnson (23rd) ... A bit of a tough fit, but he's earned the benefit of the doubt on a new track with no cut. This endorsement is strengthened if the wind blows. He was under par in every round at the Deutsche Bank Championship where he tied for 27th despite ranking outside the top 25 in fairways hit (T36), greens in regulation (T29) and strokes gained-putting (64th).
Brendon de Jonge (26th) ... Tied for 19th at The Barclays and shared ninth at the Deutsche Bank Championship. Then got picked by captain Nick Price to play for the Internationals in the Presidents Cup.
Charl Schwartzel (29th) ... He's opened the Playoffs with a pair of top 25s. Has 12 top 25s on the season in just 17 starts. Ranks 63rd in greens hit and seventh in both par breakers and adjusted scoring.
Daniel Summerhays (42nd) ... He's been making the most of his cuts made of late, posting top 25s in all five (among seven starts). Under par in all eight rounds of the Playoffs. Competed in the U.S. Open sectional qualifier at Conway Farms in 2009. While he finished three strokes too high to join a playoff for the final of six berths, his two loops around the course counts as experience.
Horses for Courses
Kevin Streelman (16th) ... A nod to the local guy. Graduated from Wheaton Warrenville South in the western suburbs -- Conway Farms is north of the metro area -- so the environs of Chicagoland could benefit. That aside, he's regained some form of late with top 20s at the PGA Championship and The Barclays. Arrives having survived six consecutive cuts.
Bill Haas (17th) ... His dad, Jay, is a native of Belleville, Ill., which is due east of St. Louis, so there's no local tie per se. However, Bill has registered a career-high 15 top 25s in his 17 cuts made this season, so he has adjusted his game to fit most venues. With no cut this week, gamers should take a long look.
Boo Weekley (19th) ... While Conway Farms is still a bit of a mystery, the greens are below average in size. He's thrived at Harbour Town and Colonial, also sites of cozy putting surfaces. So, even though he's survived seven consecutive cuts upon arrival, fit trumps form here. A shrewd complement to your chalk in the PGATOUR.com game.
D.A. Points (21st) ... The native of downstate Pekin, Ill., he successfully navigated Conway Farms at the U.S. Open sectional qualifier held there in 2009. Opened the FedExCup Playoffs with a T6 at Liberty National before missing the cut at TPC Boston.
Harris English (28th) ... Not his first visit to Conway Farms. Finished 45th (of 48) at the 2009 Western Amateur. That was 14 strokes too many to qualify for match play and contend for the title, but he's on the short list with competitive experience on the track.
Not So Fast
Graeme McDowell (48th) ... Ranked sixth in strokes gained-putting in early May, but has lost 0.788 on his metric and currently sits 72nd. Just one top-35 finish in his last six starts (T12, PGA Championship).
Brandt Snedeker (9th) ... Since winning in Canada, he's 3-for-5 with no top 30s. Endured a stretch during which he broke par just once in 12 rounds over four starts.
Billy Horschel (22nd) ... Zero top 25s among five cuts made in his last eight starts. No top 40s in his last six.
Russell Henley (43rd) ... A T62 at TPC Boston ended an 0-for-2 skid, but he's gone nine starts without a top 25. Probably needs a victory to take the Rookie of the Year award from the clutch of Jordan Spieth.
Jimmy Walker (45th) ... One top 50 (T2, Greenbrier) and six missed cuts in his last nine starts. Over par in 17 of his last 23 rounds.
Matt Jones (51st) ... After top 10s in three of his last four starts before the Playoffs, invested gamers are still holding their breath. The Aussie has settled for a T33 (Barclays) and a missed cut (Deutsche Bank) thus far.
Ken Duke (61st) and Sang-moon Bae (67th) ... The only two to miss the first two cuts of the Playoffs and still advance to the BMW Championship.
Michael Thompson (63rd) ... He's the home-run ball pretty much any week he tees it up, so he's as much of a fade as a flier. All of his six top 40s are top 25s, but he's also missed 11 cuts in 21 starts. Chased an MC at The Barclays with a T53 at TPC Boston.
Angel Cabrera (68th) ... Lost his mojo. Since a T11 at The Open Championship, he's finished no better than T38 in four starts. That includes a withdrawal at the PGA Championship due to a wrist injury.
Back in the Saddle
Arron Oberholser ... Scheduled to compete in the Nationwide Children's Hospital Championship as of Tuesday. Withdrew prior to last week's Chiquita Classic because his left hand wasn't ready to go. He's T37 at the midpoint of the Web.com Tour Finals, four spots outside the bubble.