Fantasy preview: TOUR Championship by Coca-Cola

text size
Increase Text Size
Decrease Text Size
September 18, 2012
Rob Bolton, PGATOUR.COM Fantasy Columnist

Last week's raw look at the field at the TOUR Championship by Coca-Cola was so well received that we've decided to publish the entire list of 30 so you can see how each ranked in the aggregate given the four factors that I circled for success this week. You can see these rankings below.

RobBolton-Column.jpg
Rob's Yahoo! lineup
Group A: Jim Furyk (3); Phil Mickelson (5)
Group B: Ernie Els (6); Brandt Snedeker (5); Bo Van Pelt (3); Lee Westwood (2)
Group C: Jason Dufner (2); Louis Oosthuizen (5)
YAHOO! STATS: 5,482 points; 4,440th place
SUMMER: 2,198 points (310th)
ONE-AND-DONE: Phil Mickelson
2012 EARNINGS: $6,607,753.00
DUFFER: Carl Pettersson
2012 EARNINGS: $460,595.50
*(starts left)

If you haven't read that feature yet, the chart below will make more sense if you do. You can find it here. As I mentioned in that feature, I caution that there are inherent faults, so please use the information as a tool, not a predictor.

In the penultimate event in PGA TOUR Matchups on Facebook, I registered a sporty 5-0-0 clip at the BMW Championship. It was my fourth perfect week of the season, inflating my overall record to 85-67-3, good for 181 points.

I won't challenge the leaders, but it's always better to finish strong. Michael Flanagan (5-0-0) caught Austin Frank (4-1-0) for a share of the overall lead with 207 points. Dennis59 (5-0-0) and Scott Haskins (4-1-0) sit in a tie for third with 201. Longtime leader, Chris Stolle, went 3-2-0 at Crooked Stick to enter the finale ranked T8 with 197 points.

My picks for the TOUR Championship by Coca-Cola:

• Tiger Woods over Rory McIlroy • Phil Mickelson over Lee Westwood • Webb Simpson over Matt Kuchar • Keegan Bradley over Rickie Fowler • Dustin Johnson over Bubba Watson

As you will see in the chart below, Jason Dufner ranks the highest for the TOUR Championship based on my four factors of success (PGA TOUR ranks) -- fairways hit, greens in regulation, strokes gained-putting and par breakers.

By adding the ranks of all four statistics, I came up with a total value and ranked the players from there. You will see some interesting rankings -- players such as Rory McIlroy (No. 1 in FedExCup points) actually rank quite low while Webb Simpson (No. 25 in FedExCup points) ranks quite high.

BOLTON'S FOUR FACTORS OF SUCCESS
Rankings on the PGA TOUR
Rank Player   Fairways Greens S.G.-Putting Par breakers Total value
Jason
DUFNER (10)
5 4 18 4 31
Bo
VAN PELT (19)
9 12 5 9 35
Tiger
WOODS (2)
13 10 9 11 43
Keegan
BRADLEY (14)
19 14 10 3 46
Webb
SIMPSON (25)
18 11 16 2 47
Zach
JOHNSON (9)
3 27 4 15 49
Steve
STRICKER (13)
14 9 15 12 50
Jim
FURYK (18)
1 13 7 30 51
John
SENDEN (29)
6 5 23 18 52
Lee
WESTWOOD (8)
16 2 28 6 52
Louis
OOSTHUIZEN (6)
15 6 19 13 53
Justin
ROSE (24)
7 1 27 21 56
Brandt
SNEDEKER (5)
20 30 1 8 59
Luke
DONALD (15)
8 26 2 26 62
John
HUH (26)
2 19 17 24 62
Bubba
WATSON (11)
22 3 30 7 62
Hunter
MAHAN (23)
4 7 24 28 63
Rory
MCILROY (1)
26 17 20 1 64
Ryan
MOORE (28)
11 22 12 19 64
Matt
KUCHAR (16)
10 21 11 25 67
Phil
MICKELSON (4)
30 29 3 5 67
Sergio
GARCIA (12)
17 25 6 20 68
Robert
GARRIGUS (20)
29 8 29 10 76
Adam
SCOTT (21)
21 15 26 14 76
Dustin
JOHNSON (7)
28 20 13 16 77
Scott
PIERCY (30)
27 23 14 17 81
Carl
PETTERSSON (17)
24 28 8 22 82
Nick
WATNEY (3)
23 18 22 23 86
Rickie
FOWLER (27)
12 24 25 27 88
Ernie
ELS (22)
25 16 21 29 91

Meanwhile, Tiger Woods ranks third, as he's quite steady in my four factors -- 13th in fairways hit, 10th in greens, ninth in strokes gained-putting and 11th in par breakers. It's one of the reasons I like him over Rory McIlroy this week at East Lake.

Print This Story