Sep. 11, 2010
By PGATOUR.COM staff
LEMONT, Ill.. -- Here's a quick look at the latest FedExCup projections and implications following the third round of the BMW Championship:
|
| Biggest Projected Movers |
Ryan
Moore |
 |
58 |
2 |
56 spots |
The leader rebounded well -- Saturday's 66 was eight strokes better than his second round |
Charlie
Wi |
 |
37 |
10 |
27 spots |
Broke par for third consecutive round as he chases his first PGA TOUR win and spot at East Lake |
Dustin
Johnson |
 |
16 |
5 |
11 spots |
String of five straight birdies has him in position for the win and a spot in the top five |
Ian
Poulter |
 |
44 |
27 |
17 spots |
Another round in the 60s and he could be making his first appearance at East Lake -- or maybe win |
Kevin
Na |
 |
41 |
30 |
11 spots |
Second-straight 69 has left him three shots off the lead |
|
|
| Who's in trouble |
| Player |
Current |
Projected |
Comment |
| J.B. Holmes |
24 |
31 |
Has steadily improved after opening 77 put him in a big hole, shooting 68 Saturday |
| Kevin Streelman |
26 |
33 |
Local favorite needs to go low on Sunday to get to East Lake for the first time |
| Nick Watney |
30 |
34 |
Bubble boy needs to finish 24th or better to make it to East Lake; currently tied for 26th |
| Rory McIlroy |
29 |
36 |
Young Northern Irishman finally broke par, shooting third-round 68, but needs to move up 19 spots to advance |
|
|
| Top-five watch |
| 1. MATT KUCHAR |
Feeling better, he'll start the final round one stroke back with a chance to win his second in three weeks |
| 2. CHARLEY HOFFMAN |
Monday's winner got back on track with a 70, seven strokes better than his second round score |
| 3. STEVE STRICKER |
Mr. September played like the man we remember, shooting a bogey-free 67 to tie for 14th, five strokes back. |
| 4. JASON DAY |
He's 6 over and his spot in the top five could be in jeopardy since projections show he needs to finish fourth or better to stay there |
| 5. LUKE DONALD |
Englishman took a step backwards with Saturday's 72 but only fell one spot to sixth in the projections so he's still got hope |
|
|
| Bubble watch |
| 30 |
THE TOUR Championship |
Bubble boy Nick Watney fell four spots when a 70 left him tied for 26th. Kevin Na, currently tied for seventh, has replaced Watney at No. 30 and needs to play hard. He's got to finish eighth or better on Sunday to get to East Lake for the second straight year.
Projected moving inside top 30: Ryan Moore, Charlie Wi, Ian Poulter, Kevin Na.
Projected moving outside top 30: J.B. Holmes, Kevin Streelman, Nick Watney, Rory McIlroy |
|
|
| Notables Status |
| Player |
Current rank |
Projected |
Comment |
| Tiger Woods |
51 |
44 |
Needs to make up six shots to jump inside top 30 in points |
| Vijay Singh |
63 |
59 |
Needs to make up nine shots; that's asking too much |
| Steve Stricker |
3 |
4 |
Has done enough to keep his position in top five |
| Ernie Els |
7 |
8 |
In position to move back in top five with a great Sunday |
| Jim Furyk |
11 |
13 |
Probably too far back to move into top five |
| Phil Mickelson |
14 |
14 |
Holding steady, just fine-tuning for East Lake |
| Dustin Johnson |
16 |
5 |
Projected into top five if current leaderboard holds |
| Rory McIlroy |
29 |
36 |
Needs a big Sunday to climb back into top 30 |
| Ian Poulter |
44 |
27 |
He can't afford a dropoff, otherwise he's out of top 30 |
|
|
| TOO FAR BACK? |
| According to PGATOUR.COM's Projected Shots Back, the players below are currently projected outside the top 30 and need to make up 10 shots or more on Sunday to remain in the Playoffs. In other words, these players are all but mathematically eliminated: |
| Player |
Current rank |
Projected rank |
Shot back |
| Stuart Appleby |
43 |
48 |
11 shots |
| D.J. Trahan |
36 |
48 |
18 shots |
| Heath Slocum |
42 |
50 |
12 shots |
| John Senden |
38 |
52 |
15 shots |
| Rory Sabbatini |
45 |
53 |
13 shots |
| Tom Gillis |
48 |
54 |
11 shots |
| Jason Bohn |
46 |
55 |
13 shots |
| Brian Davis |
47 |
56 |
15 shots |
| Angel Cabrera |
49 |
60 |
20 shots |
| Ricky Barnes |
54 |
61 |
17 shots |
| Fredrik Jacobson |
55 |
62 |
15 shots |
| Tim Petrovic |
66 |
63 |
10 shots |
| Justin Leonard |
59 |
64 |
12 shots |
| Bryce Molder |
60 |
65 |
12 shots |
| Jason Dufner |
65 |
66 |
12 shots |
| Y.E. Yang |
61 |
67 |
14 shots |
| Andres Romero |
68 |
68 |
17 shots |
| Stephen Ames |
69 |
69 |
17 shots |
| Scott Verplank |
70 |
70 |
18 shots |
|
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