Expert picks: Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial

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The PGA TOUR will tee it up in Fort Worth, Texas at this week's Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial. Here's how the PGATOUR.COM experts sized up the top contenders:

EXPERT PICKS How it works: Our 10 experts from PGATOUR.COM select the player they think will win this week's event. By using a draft process, no two picks can be the same. SLEEPER PICKS Of the players who didn't make the cut for our top 10 picks, which have the best chance as sleepers? Here's how our experts see it. Click here

Expert picks: Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial

Expert   Pick order Player selected   Win McMurry JUSTIN LEONARD. The Texan has had a hot hand in his home state. Look for him to play well on Colonial's tightly knit layout.   Mike McAllister KENNY PERRY. Since 2002, he's won twice in Fort Worth and also has a T2. And he's obviously playing well this year. Still, I have my concerns -- just two of his last 10 rounds at Colonial have been under par. If McAllister had the top pick ... Perry Lauren Deason ZACH JOHNSON. This course rewards accuracy, so it suits his game. He's coming off that Valero Texas Open win, plus he hasn't placed outside the top 30 in three starts at Colonial. He used to only win in Georgia -- now he's going to dominate in Texas. If Deason had the top pick ... Perry Mark Spoor BRIAN DAVIS. Davis is riding a streak of three consecutive top-five finishes. Perhaps as impressive is that the streak includes nine rounds under 70. The first rule of picking winners is to go with the hot hand. There isn't one hotter. If Spoor had the top pick ... Perry Brian Wacker GEOFF OGILVY. This is one of those "best available" picks, but Ogilvy also finished in a tie for seventh at Colonial last year and had a second-round 64. It's also been a little over two months since his last win and a month since his last top-10, so he's due. If Wacker had the top pick ... Perry Ryan Smithson JIM FURYK. He's finished second here twice -- once to Tom Watson in 1998, and once to Rory Sabbatini in 2007. If I miss the cut this week, I give up. Officially. If Smithson had the top pick ... Furyk John Swantek LUKE DONALD. He hasn't played Colonial since '04 but will love the way it fits his game. His best finishes this year have also come on classic, old style tracks at Riviera and Harbour Town. If Swantek had the top pick ... Donald Ceri Mobley PAUL CASEY. One of my favorite Brits just moved to No. 3 in the world with a big win at Wentworth last week, making him the highest-ranked player in the field. He's never played at Colonial, and last time he tried a new course (Redstone GC), he won. If Mobley had the top pick ... Perry T.J. Auclair SEAN O'HAIR. He's had six top-10s in 11 starts this year. O'Hair lost a five-stroke lead on Sunday at Bay Hill and eventually finished second to Tiger Woods, but bounced back with a win in Charlotte. He's a player to watch every time he tees it up. If Auclair had the top pick ... Leonard Helen Ross RORY SABBATINI. He won at Colonial two years ago and he's coming off a win at the HP Byron Nelson Championship. I can't believe Rory lasted this long. If Ross had the top pick ... Sabbatini

LAST WEEK: Our experts were highly successful at the HP Byron Nelson Championship last week, with Win McMurry picking winner Rory Sabbatini. Mike McAllister still holds the top spot, though, after selecting runner-up Brian Davis, while Lauren Deason chose Dustin Johnson (T4) and moved up a spot. Each week, we'll update the standings based on the FedExCup points accumulated by the players selected by our experts. Here's how it stands after Week 19: