Inside the FedExCup: What will it take to win?

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Based on our simulations of the PGA TOUR Playoffs for the FedExCup, it looks like it will take about 122,500 points to win the trophy. Obviously, that's going to depend on a lot of things, and is going to vary -- perhaps significantly -- from year to year. But if we assume that 122,500 is the magic number, how can your favorite player get to that number, depending on where he is in the standings going into the Playoffs?

The first thing that should be clear is that no matter where a player starts in the standings, it's going to take a great Playoff run to win the FedExCup. Kenny Perry, the No. 2 seed, starts with 99,500 points, so he needs 23,000 more, meaning even Perry is likely to need a victory and two other top-five finishes to get there. Plus he needs to earn points every week. That's a pretty good four-event stretch, and that's for the leader going in.

At a minimum, then, anyone who wishes to win needs a first, a third and two other solid finishes. Assuming they get the first and third in the first two events, here is what various players would need in the next two, in order to get to 122,500: