NEWS

On the Bubble: Children's Miracle Network Classic
 
Oct. 31, 2007
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By Kin Lo
PGATOUR.com ShotLink Analyst

Scenarios : Top 30 | Top 70 | Number Crunch: Children's Miracle Network Classic

There is much at stake at this week's PGA TOUR Fall Series finale at Disney's Magnolia and Palm courses in Orlando, Fla. In addition to shares of the $4.6 million purse, players will be competing for eligibility and position on TOUR for the 2008 season.

• Top 125 -- Players who finish within the top 125 on the money list will earn PGA TOUR cards for the next season, making them eligible for FedExCup events, including tournaments like the Bob Hope Chrysler Classic, Verizon Heritage, THE PLAYERS Championship, and AT&T National.

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No. 125 Ted Purdy

• Every player entered in the tournament has the potential to win outright and earn a two-year exemption on the PGA TOUR

• 37 players can realistically expect to finish within the top 125 on the money list with a top-10 performance this weekend.

• Five players are currently within the top 30 on the money list

• 64 players are currently within the top 125 on the money list

• 68 players are currently outside the top 125 on the 2007 official money list

Inching Towards $1 million
Year 125th on Money List Increase Increase Percentage
2000 $391,075 -- --
2001 $406,352 $15,277 3.91%
2002 $515,445 $109,093 26.85%
2003 $487,495 ($27,950) -5.42%
2004 $623,262 $135,767 27.85%
2005 $626,736 $3,474 0.56%
2006 $660,898 $34,162 5.45%
2007YTD $758,734 $97,836 14.80%

The Magic Number

The final 125th position on the money list after the Children's Miracle Network Classic is projected to be approximately $775,000. This estimate is derived by analyzing trends in historical data maintained by the PGA TOUR, coupled with current year performance and purse sizes.

125a.jpg
Harrison Frazar

The table below shows players who are entered in this week's final Fall Series event, and how they will need to perform in order to have a realistic chance of finishing within the top 125 on the money list. The negative numbers (red in parentheses) indicate that a player has already earned more than the amount projected for the 125th position.

This projection could fluctuate, however, and players close to the threshold will need to perform well this week to keep their PGA TOUR card for the 2008 season.

Perhaps the most exciting aspect of this year's final event is that every player in the field has the chance to earn their TOUR card for 2008, whether by finishing within the top 125 on the money list or by winning the event outright.

Players to watch:

• Kevin Stadler, and Craig Kanada are currently outside of the top 125 need a solid performance to move up

• J.P. Hayes is all but assured a spot within the top 125 if he can perform well on Thursday and Friday and make the cut

• Mathias Gronberg and Ted Purdy are currently within the top 125, but need to post good scores all four days to maintain their positions

Top 125 Projection: $775,000
TOP 125 PROJECTION
Currently Player 2007 Money Money (Ahead)/Behind Finish Needed at Disney
116 Kevin Na $856,669 ($81,669) --
117 Jeff Overton $855,530 ($80,530) --
118 Cameron Beckman $852,424 ($77,424) --
119 Ryan Armour $848,418 ($73,418) --
120 Jeff Maggert $837,305 ($62,305) --
121 Rich Beem $818,825 ($43,825) --
*122 Ben Curtis $772,321 $2,679 70
123 J.P. Hayes $771,215 $3,785 70
124 Mathias Gronberg $764,020 $10,980 52
125 Ted Purdy $758,734 $16,266 43
*126 J.B. Holmes $754,616 $20,384 39
127 Kevin Stadler $737,276 $37,724 25
129 Craig Kanada $713,280 $61,720 19
130 Harrison Frazar $698,534 $76,466 16
*131 Joe Durant $693,573 $81,427 15
132 Chris Stroud $658,545 $116,455 10
133 John Merrick $649,438 $125,562 9
134 Kent Jones $641,540 $133,460 8
135 Bob Heintz $619,316 $155,684 6
136 Parker McLachlin $597,557 $177,443 5
137 Doug LaBelle II $594,513 $180,487 5
138 Frank Lickliter II $575,804 $199,196 4
140 Jason Dufner $553,832 $221,168 3
142 Ryan Palmer $516,294 $258,706 3
143 Andrew Buckle $513,630 $261,370 3
144 Marco Dawson $512,370 $262,630 3
145 Gavin Coles $511,353 $263,647 3
146 Daisuke Maruyama $499,206 $275,794 3
148 Billy Andrade $490,917 $284,083 3
149 Steve Lowery $472,597 $302,403 3
151 Tripp Isenhour $457,419 $317,581 2
152 Robert Gamez $454,264 $320,736 2
153 Jeff Gove $453,044 $321,956 2
154 Bob Tway $449,131 $325,869 2
155 Eric Axley $440,911 $334,089 2
156 Brendon de Jonge $437,604 $337,396 2
157 Michael Putnam $422,359 $352,641 2
158 Greg Owen $417,539 $357,461 2
159 Dicky Pride $406,224 $368,776 2
161 Lee Janzen $400,909 $374,091 2
162 Michael Sim $389,228 $385,772 2
163 Glen Day $382,930 $392,070 2
164 Richard S. Johnson $377,951 $397,049 2
165 Jarrod Lyle $375,742 $399,258 2
166 Chris Couch $355,386 $419,614 2
167 Duffy Waldorf $349,450 $425,550 2
168 Rich Barcelo $334,244 $440,756 2
169 Craig Bowden $333,970 $441,030 2
170 Chris Tidland $331,570 $443,430 2
171 David Branshaw $315,679 $459,321 2
172 Kirk Triplett $305,362 $469,638 2
177 Joey Sindelar $280,692 $494,308 2
180 Ben Crane $267,580 $507,420 1
181 Paul Gow $264,149 $510,851 1
182 Kyle Reifers $261,808 $513,192 1
183 Scott Gutschewski $252,179 $522,821 1
185 Craig Lile $247,379 $527,621 1
186 Bob May $244,970 $530,030 1
189 D.J. Brigman $218,372 $556,628 1
190 Darron Stiles $215,379 $559,621 1
194 Tom Johnson $190,926 $584,074 1
200 John Huston $170,570 $604,430 1
202 Jason Schultz $152,572 $622,428 1
203 Steve Wheatcroft $145,702 $629,298 1
204 Craig Barlow $139,653 $635,347 1
208 Michael Boyd $117,271 $657,729 1
212 Matt Hendrix $108,269 $666,731 1
216 Bryce Molder $103,493 $671,507 1
217 Brent Geiberger $91,750 $683,250 1
218 Bubba Dickerson $87,430 $687,570 1
226 Jim Rutledge $62,242 $712,758 1
227 Jaco Van Zyl $53,763 $721,237 1
237 Michael Bradley $31,889 $743,111 1
*Exempt through 2008 because of tournament victories in 2006